PRG PROG Holdings, Inc. · $46.42 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤 Terminal终端
PROG Holdings, Inc. · Financials

PRG

$46.42
Progressive supranuclear palsy (PSP) is a late-onset neurodegenerative disease involving the gradual deterioration and death of specific volumes of the brain, linked to 4-repeat tau pathology.进行性核上性麻痹(PSP)是一种晚发性神经退行性疾病,涉及特定脑区体积的逐渐退化和死亡,与4重复tau蛋白病变相关。
Financial金融股 Small cap小盘 $2B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成,目前价格已拉伸(动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下)。不要追高;等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$46.42
2.3% below 52-week high低于52周高点 2.3%
Market Cap市值
$2B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
12.5x
15.0x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.10
Moves about 1.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
66
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-22 (3d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
58th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
8.8% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 PRG S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +4.9% -1.5% Beat the index by 6.4 points跑赢指数 6.4 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +23.4% +0.6% Beat the index by 22.8 points跑赢指数 22.8 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +44.2% +4.7% Beat the index by 39.5 points跑赢指数 39.5 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +44.1% +7.8% Beat the index by 36.3 points跑赢指数 36.3 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +59.5% +9.1% Beat the index by 50.4 points跑赢指数 50.4 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +63.8% +19.4% Beat the index by 44.4 points跑赢指数 44.4 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +39.4% +69.4% Lagged the index by 30.0 points落后指数 30.0 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 66 Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +19.2% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +41.3% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 58th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$44.41
Don't chase above不追高于
$46.42
Stop止损
$37.13
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

3
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-22

Estimates roughly stable预期基本稳定

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 PRG Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 12.52x 14.99
73%
P/B市净率 2.46x 1.52
27%
P/S市销率 0.76x 2.87
93%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 7.99% 6.58
75%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 3.95% 3.91
51%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$2.5B
2020
$2.7B
2021
$2.6B
2022
$2.4B
2023
$2.5B
2024
$2.4B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -0.6%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$-0.90
2020
$3.67
2021
$1.90
2022
$2.98
2023
$4.53
2024
$3.59
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$391.6M
2020
$236.4M
2021
$232.8M
2022
$194.6M
2023
$130.2M
2024
$324.9M
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
8.6%
Net margin净利率
6.1%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
13.9%
19.7%Return on Equity股本回报率
9.1%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA1.24
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$51.8M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$28.8M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)-3.0%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/6 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (4.6) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 64% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 64% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.10×
0.2
Moves about 1.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/6
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓 Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面 PRG made a new 52-week highPRG 创52周新高

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~24 day(s) ago @ 37.13) and momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发(摆动低点出现、动量转向上行),但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点(约 24 天前形成 @ 37.13)且动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下。动量交叉属于滞后确认:在垂直拉升之后,只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发,因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高,而非新的买入
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 16, 2026
PRG made a new 52-week highPRG 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $47.53.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$47.53。
Jul 16, 2026
PRG daily MACD crossed upPRG 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $47.53.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$47.53。
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 15, 2026
PRG RSI reached overboughtPRG RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $46.51.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$46.51。
Jul 14, 2026
PRG StochRSI turned up from oversoldPRG StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $45.21.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$45.21。
Jul 13, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 8, 2026
PRG daily MACD crossed downPRG 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $43.26.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$43.26。
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 25, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 25, 2026
PRG RSI reached overboughtPRG RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $43.41.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$43.41。

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.23
Value价值
+0.6
Quality质量
+1.1
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.0
Low volatility低波动
-0.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
+1.2
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.3

Company Profile公司档案

Progressive supranuclear palsy (PSP) is a late-onset neurodegenerative disease involving the gradual deterioration and death of specific volumes of the brain, linked to 4-repeat tau pathology.进行性核上性麻痹(PSP)是一种晚发性神经退行性疾病,涉及特定脑区体积的逐渐退化和死亡,与4重复tau蛋白病变相关。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Capital intensity rising
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