Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The daily turn is already in — a low formed ~20 day(s) ago @ 12.75 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's mi日线转向已经完成——低点于约 20 天前形成 @ 12.75，且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认，因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场，而非待触发信号：可在此建半仓，或等待周线转向。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$13.74
1.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 1.7%
Market Cap市值
$2B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
28.4x
15.0x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.84
Moves about 0.8x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
60
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-28 (9d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
19th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.8% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | HOPE | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +2.2% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 3.7 points跑赢指数 3.7 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +7.8% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 7.2 points跑赢指数 7.2 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +10.9% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 6.2 points跑赢指数 6.2 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +20.1% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 12.3 points跑赢指数 12.3 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +28.0% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 18.9 points跑赢指数 18.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +26.0% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 6.6 points跑赢指数 6.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +71.3% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 1.9 points跑赢指数 1.9 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
60
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+6.7% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+18.9% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
19th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$13.61
Don't chase above不追高于
$13.85
Stop止损
$12.75
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
9
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-28
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | HOPE | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 28.41x | 14.99 | 12% |
| P/B市净率 | 0.77x | 1.52 | 95% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 3.52% | 6.58 | 16% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -11.4%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
2.7%Return on Equity股本回报率
0.3%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $0 |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $7.7M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +6.2% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 3/5
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 54% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 54% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.84×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.8× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
Financial Health财务健康
3/5
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +11.6%空头仓位变动 +11.6%
Technical技术面
HOPE made a new 52-week highHOPE 创52周新高
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$1.0M net (0 buyers, 4 sellers)-$1.0M 净值（0 买家，4 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 16, 2026
HOPE made a new 52-week highHOPE 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $13.98.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$13.98。
Jul 15, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 15, 2026
HOPE took relative-strength leadershipHOPE 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $13.60.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$13.60。
Jul 13, 2026
HOPE StochRSI turned up from oversoldHOPE StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $13.44.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$13.44。
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 7, 2026
HOPE daily MACD crossed downHOPE 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $13.35.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$13.35。
Jun 30, 2026
HOPE made a new 52-week highHOPE 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $13.68.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$13.68。
Jun 30, 2026
HOPE RSI reached overboughtHOPE RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $13.68.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$13.68。
Jun 29, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 26, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 26, 2026
HOPE RSI reached overboughtHOPE RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $13.59.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$13.59。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.45
Value价值
+1.8
Quality质量
-0.7
Investment资本投入
-0.0
Low volatility低波动
+0.7
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.7
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.5
Company Profile公司档案
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。