Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 82.7.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 82.7 下方。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$88.09
39.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 39.0%
Market Cap市值
$3B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
21.7x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.80
Moves about 0.8x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
52
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
83th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
7.0% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | PATK | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +6.5% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 8.0 points跑赢指数 8.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +2.9% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 2.3 points跑赢指数 2.3 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -17.2% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 21.9 points落后指数 21.9 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -30.7% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 38.5 points落后指数 38.5 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -19.5% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 28.6 points落后指数 28.6 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -7.9% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 27.3 points落后指数 27.3 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +64.8% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 4.6 points落后指数 4.6 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
52
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-0.9% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-16.7% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
83th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$86.20
Don't chase above不追高于
$88.09
Stop止损
$82.70
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望
Earnings财务业绩
11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | PATK | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 21.67x | 20.23 | 45% |
| P/B市净率 | 2.47x | 2.97 | 56% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.74x | 1.23 | 65% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.61% | 4.53 | 51% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 8.42% | 5.69 | 75% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.09% | 4.31 | 15% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 9.39x | 11.48 | 62% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 11.87x | 16.53 | 73% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 9.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -1.5%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
11.4%Return on Equity股本回报率
4.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 2.83 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 2.51 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $32.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $19.1M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -1.0% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 8/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.2)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 61% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 61% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.80×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.8× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
Financial Health财务健康
8/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +10.8%空头仓位变动 +10.8%
Technical技术面
PATK daily MACD crossed upPATK 日线MACD上穿
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$4.5M net (2 buyers, 5 sellers)-$4.5M 净值（2 买家，5 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE
UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 16, 2026
PATK daily MACD crossed upPATK 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $88.25.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$88.25。
Jul 16, 2026
PATK StochRSI turned up from oversoldPATK StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $88.25.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$88.25。
Jul 10, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 10, 2026
PATK made a new 52-week lowPATK 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $82.70.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$82.70。
Jul 9, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 8, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 8, 2026
PATK broke down vs the marketPATK 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $83.08.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$83.08。
Jul 8, 2026
PATK made a new 52-week lowPATK 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $83.08.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$83.08。
Jul 8, 2026
PATK daily MACD crossed downPATK 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $83.08.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$83.08。
Jul 2, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 1, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 1, 2026
PATK broke down vs the marketPATK 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $85.27.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$85.27。
Jun 30, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → UPTREND未确认转向 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.05
Value价值
+0.3
Profitability盈利能力
-0.1
Quality质量
-0.3
Investment资本投入
+0.4
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.8
Low volatility低波动
+0.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.4
Company Profile公司档案
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。