PANW
Palo Alto Networks
·
$358.68
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Terminal终端 ↗
Palo Alto Networks · Tech
PANW
$358.68
Palo Alto Networks, Inc. is an American multinational cybersecurity company with headquarters in Santa Clara, California.派拓网络公司（PaloAltoNetworks,Inc.）是一家美国跨国网络安全公司，总部位于加利福尼亚州圣克拉拉。
Mixed profile混合特征
Mega cap超大盘
$252B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (overbought (daily RSI 67, 3-day 77 & 已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（已超买（日线 RSI 67、3 日 77 与周线 77））。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$358.68
0.0% below 52-week high0.0% below 52-week high
Market Cap市值
$252B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
222.4x
40.2x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
87.0x
EPS每股收益 $1.61
Beta贝塔
1.18
Moves about 1.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
67
Elevated偏高
Volatility Rank波动率分位
94th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.6% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | PANW | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +10.1% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 11.6 points跑赢指数 11.6 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +27.1% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 26.5 points跑赢指数 26.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +113.7% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 109.0 points跑赢指数 109.0 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +91.1% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 83.3 points跑赢指数 83.3 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +100.0% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 90.9 points跑赢指数 90.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +82.7% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 63.3 points跑赢指数 63.3 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +188.9% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 119.5 points跑赢指数 119.5 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +454.2% | +83.9% | Beat the index by 370.3 points跑赢指数 370.3 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
Short-term Rising TrendLong-term Rising Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Overvalued — composite multiples in most expensive decile vs universe
RSI (14)RSI（14）
67
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+26.3% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+72.1% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
47
Strong trend趋势强劲
Volatility rank波动率分位
94th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$335.20
Don't chase above不追高于
$358.70
Stop止损
$279.50
Topping — protect gains见顶 — 保护利润
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: +26.4% (20d)财报后漂移：+26.4%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | PANW | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 222.38x | 40.17 | 6% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 87.0x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 26.84x | 5.85 | 9% |
| P/S市销率 | 27.34x | 4.85 | 3% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 0.45% | 2.19 | 19% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 1.38% | 3.05 | 25% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.00% | 2.16 | 3% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 157.53x | 29.30 | 7% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 72.67x | 30.46 | 18% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 22.0%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
12.1%Return on Equity股本回报率
4.5%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -1.43 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.94 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $1.3B |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +6.5% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (10.3)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 10% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 10% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.18×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Cybersecurity theme — #1 of 46 themes「网络安全」主题 — 46 个主题中第 1 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +11.0%空头仓位变动 +11.0%
Technical技术面
PANW made a new 52-week highPANW 创52周新高
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±4.08%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±9.13%
Call wall看涨密集区
$390
Put wall看跌密集区
$318
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.7%
Flow资金流向
$37M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 42 fresh positions; P/C 1.25; ~leans bearish/hedging (direction approx)成交权利金 $37M；0DTE占0%；42个新建仓；看跌看涨比 1.25；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$99.9M net (1 buyers, 5 sellers)-$99.9M 净值（1 买家，5 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TOP WATCH
NEARING A HIGH
Jul 17, 2026
PANW made a new 52-week highPANW 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $358.68.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$358.68。
Jul 15, 2026
PANW StochRSI turned up from oversoldPANW StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $354.02.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$354.02。
Jul 10, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 10, 2026
PANW daily MACD crossed downPANW 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $325.91.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$325.91。
Jul 9, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 6, 2026
PANW made a new 52-week highPANW 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $357.53.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$357.53。
Jun 29, 2026
PANW daily MACD crossed upPANW 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $332.00.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$332.00。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.38
Value价值
-1.1
Profitability盈利能力
-0.2
Quality质量
+0.9
Investment资本投入
-0.6
Shareholder payout股东回报
-1.0
Low volatility低波动
-0.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.5
Earnings quality盈利质量
+1.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.5
Company Profile公司档案
Palo Alto Networks, Inc. is an American multinational cybersecurity company with headquarters in Santa Clara, California.派拓网络公司（PaloAltoNetworks,Inc.）是一家美国跨国网络安全公司，总部位于加利福尼亚州圣克拉拉。
Demand chain:需求链： Contracted bookings (RPO) accelerating (+24% YoY to ~$16B, 1.7× revenue) — signed demand locked in ahead of recognition已签约订单（RPO）加速（同比+24%，约 $16B，覆盖营收 1.7 倍）——已锁定、尚未确认的需求
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
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