ON
ON Semiconductor
·
$87.37
Strong name · wrong tape — wait for a base强势个股 · 趋势不利 — 等待筑底
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ON Semiconductor · Tech
ON
$87.37
ON Semiconductor Corporation is an American semiconductor supplier company, based in Scottsdale, Arizona. Products include power and signal management, logic, discrete, and custom devices for automotive, communications, computing, consumer, industrial, LED lighting, medical, military/aerospace and power applications.安森美半导体公司（ONSemiconductorCorporation）是一家美国半导体供应商，总部位于亚利桑那州斯科茨代尔。产品涵盖电源与信号管理、逻辑、分立及定制器件，应用于汽车、通信、计算、消费电子、工业、LED照明、医疗、军事/航空航天及电力领域。
Speculative / unprofitable投机／未盈利
Large cap大盘
$35B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Strong name · wrong tape — wait for a base强势个股 · 趋势不利 — 等待筑底
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$87.37
34.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 34.8%
Market Cap市值
$35B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
286.5x
40.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
2.42
Moves about 2.4x the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.4 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
39
Depressed偏低
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-03 (15d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
94th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
7.5% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | ON | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -9.0% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 7.5 points落后指数 7.5 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -22.6% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 23.2 points落后指数 23.2 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +5.3% | +4.7% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +44.8% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 37.0 points跑赢指数 37.0 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +54.1% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 45.0 points跑赢指数 45.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +47.1% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 27.7 points跑赢指数 27.7 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
39
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-20.2% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+19.4% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
94th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$87.37
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期
Earnings财务业绩
15
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-03
Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师
Post-earnings drift: +20.6% (20d)财报后漂移：+20.6%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | ON | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 286.47x | 40.17 | 5% |
| P/B市净率 | 4.52x | 5.85 | 57% |
| P/S市销率 | 5.78x | 4.85 | 42% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 0.35% | 2.19 | 19% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 4.09% | 3.05 | 63% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 3.97% | 2.16 | 74% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 46.09x | 29.30 | 34% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 24.43x | 30.46 | 59% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 2.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -12.3%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
1.6%Return on Equity股本回报率
1.0%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 1.08 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 4.52 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $1.4B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $144.3M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -6.2% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (6.2)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 40% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 40% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
2.42×
0.21×3×
Moves about 2.4× the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.4 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Technology (Equal-Weight) theme — #23 of 46 themes「信息技术（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 23 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
DOWNTREND → NEARING A LOW下跌趋势 → 接近低点
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±6.05%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±13.52%
Call wall看涨密集区
$97
Put wall看跌密集区
$80
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$97
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-2.2%
Flow资金流向
$29M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 62 fresh positions; P/C 2.0; ~leans bearish (direction approx)成交权利金 $29M；0DTE占0%；62个新建仓；看跌看涨比 2.0；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$11.9M net (0 buyers, 4 sellers)-$11.9M 净值（0 买家，4 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sachem Head Capital | D | New position新建仓 | 2.9% | 2026-03-31 |
| Duquesne Family Office (Druckenmiller) | C | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
DECLINE
DOWNTREND
Jul 14, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A LOW下跌趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 13, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 9, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 9, 2026
ON StochRSI turned up from oversoldON StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $97.87.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$97.87。
Jul 3, 2026
ON weekly MACD crossed downON 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jun 29, 2026
ON printed a daily-cycle lowON 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $88.57.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$88.57。
Jun 26, 2026
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 25, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 123 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.21
Value价值
-0.8
Profitability盈利能力
-0.9
Quality质量
+0.8
Investment资本投入
+1.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.0
Low volatility低波动
-1.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-2.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
+1.3
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.6
Company Profile公司档案
ON Semiconductor Corporation is an American semiconductor supplier company, based in Scottsdale, Arizona. Products include power and signal management, logic, discrete, and custom devices for automotive, communications, computing, consumer, industrial, LED lighting, medical, military/aerospace and power applications.安森美半导体公司（ONSemiconductorCorporation）是一家美国半导体供应商，总部位于亚利桑那州斯科茨代尔。产品涵盖电源与信号管理、逻辑、分立及定制器件，应用于汽车、通信、计算、消费电子、工业、LED照明、医疗、军事/航空航天及电力领域。
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。