JBL Jabil · $301.01 Strong name · wrong tape — wait for a base强势个股 · 趋势不利 — 等待筑底 Terminal终端 ↗

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Jabil · Tech

JBL

$301.01
Jabil Inc. is an American multinational manufacturing company involved in the design, engineering, and manufacturing of electronic circuit board assemblies and systems, along with supply chain services, primarily serving original equipment manufacturers.JabilInc.（捷普公司）是一家美国跨国制造企业，涉及电子电路板组件和系统的设计、工程和制造，并提供供应链服务，主要服务于原始设备制造商。
Speculative / unprofitable投机／未盈利 Large cap大盘 $32B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Strong name · wrong tape — wait for a base强势个股 · 趋势不利 — 等待筑底
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗ All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$301.01
21.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 21.9%
Market Cap市值
$32B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
48.9x
40.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
2.05
Moves about 2.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.0 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
32
Depressed偏低
Volatility Rank波动率分位
84th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.9% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 JBL S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -8.9% -1.5% Lagged the index by 7.4 points落后指数 7.4 个百分点
1 Month近1月 -19.7% +0.6% Lagged the index by 20.3 points落后指数 20.3 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -6.4% +4.7% Lagged the index by 11.1 points落后指数 11.1 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +19.9% +7.8% Beat the index by 12.1 points跑赢指数 12.1 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +25.3% +9.1% Beat the index by 16.2 points跑赢指数 16.2 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +35.6% +19.4% Beat the index by 16.2 points跑赢指数 16.2 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 32 Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -15.5% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +10.3% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 84th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$301.00
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期

Earnings财务业绩

Estimates being raised — 10 analysts预期上调 — 10 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 JBL Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 48.94x 40.17
39%
P/B市净率 23.92x 5.85
10%
P/S市销率 1.08x 4.85
88%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 2.04% 2.19
48%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 3.64% 3.05
58%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 3.11% 2.16
64%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 17.84x 29.30
67%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 27.44x 30.46
54%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$27.3B
2020
$29.3B
2021
$33.5B
2022
$34.7B
2023
$28.9B
2024
$29.8B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 1.8%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$0.35
2020
$4.58
2021
$6.90
2022
$6.02
2023
$11.17
2024
$5.92
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 76.1%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$274.2M
2020
$274.0M
2021
$266.0M
2022
$704.0M
2023
$932.0M
2024
$1.2B
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
8.9%
Operating margin营业利润率
4.0%
Net margin净利率
2.2%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
5.5%
48.9%Return on Equity股本回报率
3.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA0.51
Current ratio流动比率1.00
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$1.0B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$107.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-4.4%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.4) Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 52% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 52% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
2.05×
0.21×3×
Moves about 2.0× the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.0 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Technology (Equal-Weight) theme — #23 of 46 themes「信息技术（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 23 位
Macro宏观 Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 JBL weekly MACD crossed downJBL 周线MACD下穿

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大

Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.71%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±8.29%
Call wall看涨密集区
$330
Put wall看跌密集区
$300
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$369
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-11.0%
Skew: 偏斜：fear

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$68.1M net (0 buyers, 13 sellers)-$68.1M 净值（0 买家，13 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Duquesne Family Office (Druckenmiller) C New position新建仓 0.7% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID. Failed cycle — price broke below the low that started this cycle, which historically means the larger trend is rolling over (~80% of cases)回避。失败周期——价格跌破了启动本周期的低点，历史上这通常意味着更大的趋势正在掉头向下（约 80% 的情形）
DECLINE DOWNTREND
Jul 10, 2026
JBL weekly MACD crossed downJBL 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 2, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → NEARING A LOW接近高点 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 30, 2026
NEARING A LOW → NEARING A HIGH接近低点 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 30, 2026
JBL took relative-strength leadershipJBL 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $385.48.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$385.48。
Jun 30, 2026
JBL made a new 52-week highJBL 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $385.48.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$385.48。
Jun 23, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 16, 2026
JBL daily MACD crossed downJBL 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $375.51.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$375.51。
Jun 15, 2026
JBL daily MACD crossed upJBL 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $385.63.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$385.63。
Jun 12, 2026
JBL made a new 52-week highJBL 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $384.82.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$384.82。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 107 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.24
Value价值
-0.6
Profitability盈利能力
-1.0
Quality质量
+0.8
Investment资本投入
+0.0
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.2
Low volatility低波动
-0.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.6
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.2

Company Profile公司档案

Jabil Inc. is an American multinational manufacturing company involved in the design, engineering, and manufacturing of electronic circuit board assemblies and systems, along with supply chain services, primarily serving original equipment manufacturers.JabilInc.（捷普公司）是一家美国跨国制造企业，涉及电子电路板组件和系统的设计、工程和制造，并提供供应链服务，主要服务于原始设备制造商。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Margin compression despite revenue growth
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