NRG Energy · Utilities
NRG
$137.90
NRG Energy, Inc. is an American energy company, headquartered in Houston, Texas.NRG能源公司是一家总部位于得克萨斯州休斯顿的美国能源企业。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Large cap大盘
$25B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 120.65.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 120.65 下方。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$137.90
24.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 24.8%
Market Cap市值
$25B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
28.4x
22.6x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.47
Moves about 1.5x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.5 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
49
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-05 (17d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
8th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.2% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | NRG | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.3% | +1.3% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +5.8% | +0.3% | Beat the index by 5.5 points跑赢指数 5.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -17.9% | +7.6% | Lagged the index by 25.5 points落后指数 25.5 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -8.7% | +9.4% | Lagged the index by 18.1 points落后指数 18.1 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -16.5% | +10.8% | Lagged the index by 27.3 points落后指数 27.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -5.0% | +22.4% | Lagged the index by 27.4 points落后指数 27.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +302.5% | +73.9% | Beat the index by 228.6 points跑赢指数 228.6 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +289.6% | +86.7% | Beat the index by 202.9 points跑赢指数 202.9 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)Trend Ribbon — Downtrend State
RSI (14)RSI（14）
49
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+0.9% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-10.7% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
12
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位
8th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$134.45
Don't chase above不追高于
$137.90
Stop止损
$120.70
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望
Earnings财务业绩
17
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-05
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: -9.2% (20d)财报后漂移：-9.2%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | NRG | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 28.45x | 22.58 | 12% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.80x | 3.01 | 96% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 3.52% | 4.41 | 16% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 3.12% | -2.94 | 91% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 7.01% | 2.81 | 100% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 6.11x | 12.72 | 96% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 32.09x | 39.80 | 58% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 27.6%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 14.1%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
3.0%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -1.45 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.64 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $1.3B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $134.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -4.1% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/7
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.1)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 74% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 74% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.47×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.5× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.5 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/7
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Utilities (Equal-Weight) theme — #21 of 46 themes「公用事业（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 21 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +62.3%空头仓位变动 +62.3%
Technical技术面
NRG daily MACD crossed downNRG 日线MACD下穿
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.49%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±7.79%
Call wall看涨密集区
$143
Put wall看跌密集区
$125
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$110
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-11.1%
Flow资金流向
$2M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 16 fresh positions; P/C 0.3; ~leans bearish (direction approx)成交权利金 $2M；0DTE占0%；16个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.3；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$5322.0M net (0 buyers, 6 sellers)-$5322.0M 净值（0 买家，6 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oaktree Capital Management | B | New position新建仓 | 0.1% | 2026-03-31 |
| Appaloosa (Tepper) | A | Holding持有 | 4.3% | 2026-03-31 |
| Polen Capital Management | B | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE
UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 13, 2026
NRG daily MACD crossed downNRG 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $139.48.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$139.48。
Jul 13, 2026
NRG StochRSI turned up from oversoldNRG StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $139.48.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$139.48。
Jul 1, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 30, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 25, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 15, 2026
TOPPING → UPTREND做顶中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 15, 2026
NRG daily MACD crossed upNRG 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $130.40.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$130.40。
Jun 12, 2026
DOWNTREND → TOPPING下跌趋势 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jun 10, 2026
NRG printed a daily-cycle lowNRG 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $120.65.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$120.65。
Jun 10, 2026
NRG broke down vs the marketNRG 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $120.65.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$120.65。
Jun 10, 2026
NRG made a new 52-week lowNRG 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $120.65.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$120.65。
Jun 10, 2026
NRG daily MACD crossed downNRG 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $120.65.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$120.65。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 1862 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.35
Value价值
+0.3
Quality质量
-1.6
Investment资本投入
-0.8
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.8
Low volatility低波动
-0.4
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.8
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.7
Company Profile公司档案
NRG Energy, Inc. is an American energy company, headquartered in Houston, Texas.NRG能源公司是一家总部位于得克萨斯州休斯顿的美国能源企业。
Demand chain:需求链： Hyperscaler capex accelerating (+69% YoY to ~$379B) — the demand pool for power & grid buildout云厂商资本开支加速（同比+69%，约 $379B）——电力与电网建设的需求来源
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。