PPL PPL Corporation · $35.85 Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势 Terminal终端 ↗

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PPL Corporation · Utilities

PPL

$35.85
PPL Corporation is an energy company headquartered in Allentown, Pennsylvania in the Lehigh Valley region of eastern Pennsylvania. The company is publicly traded on the New York Stock Exchange as NYSE: PPL and is part of the S&P 500.PPL公司是一家能源公司，总部位于宾夕法尼亚州东部利哈伊谷地区的阿伦敦。该公司在纽约证券交易所公开上市，股票代码为NYSE:PPL，是标普500指数的成分股。
Distressed困境股 Large cap大盘 $27B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 35.33.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 35.33 下方。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$35.85
9.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 9.9%
Market Cap市值
$27B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
22.8x
22.6x sector median
Beta贝塔
-0.02
Moves about -0.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.0 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
48
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
96th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.0% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 PPL S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +0.2% -1.5% Beat the index by 1.7 points跑赢指数 1.7 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +1.5% +0.6% In line with the index与指数基本持平
3 Months近3月 -8.1% +4.7% Lagged the index by 12.8 points落后指数 12.8 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -1.9% +7.8% Lagged the index by 9.7 points落后指数 9.7 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +2.9% +9.1% Lagged the index by 6.2 points落后指数 6.2 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +3.0% +19.4% Lagged the index by 16.4 points落后指数 16.4 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 48 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +0.2% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -1.4% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 96th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$35.16
Don't chase above不追高于
$35.85
Stop止损
$35.33
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望

Earnings财务业绩

11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 PPL Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 22.80x 22.58
46%
P/S市销率 2.98x 3.01
53%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 4.39% 4.41
49%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 -5.20% -2.94
30%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 2.95% 2.81
60%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 13.00x 12.72
47%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$7.5B
2016
$7.4B
2017
$7.8B
2018
$7.6B
2019
$8.5B
2021
$9.0B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 3.8%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$2.79
2016
$1.64
2017
$2.58
2018
$1.91
2019
$1.20
2021
$1.59
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -10.6%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
-$30.0M
2016
-$672.0M
2017
-$417.0M
2018
-$503.0M
2019
-$465.0M
2021
-$1.4B
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
23.5%
Net margin净利率
13.1%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
29.1%
2.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA5.18
Current ratio流动比率0.86
Capital Allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$49.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+1.8%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.0) Warning警示

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 44% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 44% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.02×
0.21×3×
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Utilities (Equal-Weight) theme — #21 of 46 themes「公用事业（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 21 位
Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面 PPL lost its 200-day averagePPL 跌破200日均线

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.37%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±3.06%
Call wall看涨密集区
$38
Put wall看跌密集区
$33
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$34
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-2.8%
Skew: 偏斜：balanced

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Soros Fund Management B New position新建仓 0.1% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A HIGH → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近高点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum negative; last cycle left-translated (topped early)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量为负；上一周期左移（见顶偏早））。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 17, 2026
PPL lost its 200-day averagePPL 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $35.85.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$35.85。
Jul 16, 2026
PPL reclaimed its 200-day averagePPL 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $36.38.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$36.38。
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近高点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 15, 2026
PPL broke down vs the marketPPL 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $35.71.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$35.71。
Jul 14, 2026
PPL StochRSI turned up from oversoldPPL StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $36.10.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$36.10。
Jul 9, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 9, 2026
PPL daily MACD crossed downPPL 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $35.66.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$35.66。
Jul 8, 2026
PPL lost its 200-day averagePPL 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $35.99.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$35.99。
Jul 7, 2026
PPL reclaimed its 200-day averagePPL 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $36.39.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$36.39。

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.01
Value价值
-0.1
Quality质量
-0.8
Investment资本投入
-0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.3
Low volatility低波动
+1.4
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.5

Company Profile公司档案

PPL Corporation is an energy company headquartered in Allentown, Pennsylvania in the Lehigh Valley region of eastern Pennsylvania. The company is publicly traded on the New York Stock Exchange as NYSE: PPL and is part of the S&P 500.PPL公司是一家能源公司，总部位于宾夕法尼亚州东部利哈伊谷地区的阿伦敦。该公司在纽约证券交易所公开上市，股票代码为NYSE:PPL，是标普500指数的成分股。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Receivables stretch
  • Inventory build
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