CMS CMS Energy · $73.65 Leader · accounting warning — verify before buying领先 · 财务质量警示 — 买入前先核实 Terminal终端
CMS Energy · Utilities

CMS

$73.65
CMS Energy Corporation is an American energy company based in Jackson, Michigan, that is focused principally on utility operations in Michigan. Its principal business is Consumers Energy, a public utility that provides electricity and natural gas to more than 6...CMSEnergyCorporation是一家美国能源公司,总部位于密歇根州杰克逊,主要专注于密歇根州的公用事业运营。其主要业务是ConsumersEnergy,这是一家公共事业公司,为密歇根州1000万居民中的600多万人提供电力和天然气。
Distressed困境股 Large cap大盘 $23B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Leader · accounting warning — verify before buying领先 · 财务质量警示 — 买入前先核实
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 72.85.日线低点正在形成,但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位;止损设于 72.85 下方。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$73.65
7.2% below 52-week high低于52周高点 7.2%
Market Cap市值
$23B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
21.1x
22.6x sector median
Beta贝塔
-0.14
Moves about -0.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
44
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
91th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
6.8% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 CMS S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -2.3% -1.5% In line with the index与指数基本持平
1 Month近1月 +0.5% +0.6% In line with the index与指数基本持平
3 Months近3月 -4.5% +4.7% Lagged the index by 9.2 points落后指数 9.2 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +4.3% +7.8% Lagged the index by 3.5 points落后指数 3.5 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +6.2% +9.1% Lagged the index by 2.9 points落后指数 2.9 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +7.1% +19.4% Lagged the index by 12.3 points落后指数 12.3 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 44 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -0.5% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +0.5% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 91th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$72.36
Don't chase above不追高于
$73.65
Stop止损
$72.85
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认,先观望

Earnings财务业绩

11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30

Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 CMS Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 21.07x 22.58
56%
P/B市净率 2.47x 2.06
24%
P/S市销率 2.64x 3.01
63%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 4.75% 4.41
59%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 13.46x 12.72
39%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$6.7B
2020
$7.3B
2021
$8.6B
2022
$7.5B
2023
$7.5B
2024
$8.5B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 5.0%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$2.64
2020
$4.66
2021
$2.85
2022
$3.01
2023
$3.33
2024
$3.53
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 6.0%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
-$1.0B
2020
-$257.0M
2021
-$1.5B
2022
2023
2024
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
20.2%
Net margin净利率
12.5%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
26.2%
11.7%Return on Equity股本回报率
2.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA6.02
Current ratio流动比率0.98
Capital Allocation资本配置
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)+2.5%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (0.9) Warning警示

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 46% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 46% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.14×
0.2
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Utilities (Equal-Weight) theme — #21 of 46 themes「公用事业(等权)」主题 — 46 个主题中第 21 位
Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +24.6%空头仓位变动 +24.6%
Technical技术面 CMS weekly MACD crossed downCMS 周线MACD下穿

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.18%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±2.63%
Call wall看涨密集区
$80
Put wall看跌密集区
$70
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$67
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-2.9%
Skew: 偏斜:fear

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$1.7M net (1 buyers, 3 sellers)-$1.7M 净值(1 买家,3 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Soros Fund Management B Holding持有 1.1% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum just crossed down; last cycle left-translated (topped early)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态(摆动低点已现、动量转向上行)——但更高周期尚未确认:大局仍偏空(周线动量刚刚向下交叉;上一周期左移(见顶偏早))。这是「未确认转向」,并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格,因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹,也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种,故应将其视为风险/仓位信号,而非方向判断。实测:周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点,周线转向后升至约 68%。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 17, 2026
CMS weekly MACD crossed downCMS 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 9, 2026
CMS daily MACD crossed downCMS 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $75.00.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$75.00。
Jul 8, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 7, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 6, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 3, 2026
CMS weekly MACD crossed upCMS 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 1, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条,共 112 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.10
Value价值
-0.1
Quality质量
-0.8
Investment资本投入
-0.2
Low volatility低波动
+1.4
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.8

Company Profile公司档案

CMS Energy Corporation is an American energy company based in Jackson, Michigan, that is focused principally on utility operations in Michigan. Its principal business is Consumers Energy, a public utility that provides electricity and natural gas to more than 6...CMSEnergyCorporation是一家美国能源公司,总部位于密歇根州杰克逊,主要专注于密歇根州的公用事业运营。其主要业务是ConsumersEnergy,这是一家公共事业公司,为密歇根州1000万居民中的600多万人提供电力和天然气。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Receivables stretch
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