Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Setup almost complete — likely buy trigger in ~1–3 trading days if it closes back above its 10-day average.形态接近完成——若收盘重新站上 10 日均线，预计将在约 1–3 个交易日内出现买入触发。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$148.71
11.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 11.8%
Market Cap市值
$5B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
98.5x
40.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
2.03
Moves about 2.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.0 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
45
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
75th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
14.7% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | NOVT | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -5.1% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 3.6 points落后指数 3.6 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -1.8% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 2.4 points落后指数 2.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +15.4% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 10.7 points跑赢指数 10.7 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +10.5% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 2.7 points跑赢指数 2.7 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +33.8% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 24.7 points跑赢指数 24.7 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +18.0% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 1.4 points落后指数 1.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -17.1% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 86.5 points落后指数 86.5 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
45
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-4.2% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+13.5% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
75th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$147.65
Don't chase above不追高于
$150.80
Stop止损
$146.60
Buy soon — on confirmation即将买入 — 待确认
Earnings财务业绩
16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04
Estimates being raised — 2 analysts预期上调 — 2 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | NOVT | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 98.55x | 40.17 | 16% |
| P/B市净率 | 4.04x | 5.85 | 62% |
| P/S市销率 | 5.41x | 4.85 | 46% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.01% | 2.19 | 28% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 0.91% | 3.05 | 18% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.74% | 2.16 | 24% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 33.18x | 29.30 | 45% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 109.53x | 30.46 | 11% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 10.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 3.3%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
4.1%Return on Equity股本回报率
3.0%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.83 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 3.69 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $39.3M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $29.5M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -0.7% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (7.8)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 37% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 37% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
2.03×
0.21×3×
Moves about 2.0× the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.0 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Robotics & Automation theme — #32 of 46 themes「机器人与自动化」主题 — 46 个主题中第 32 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +11.1%空头仓位变动 +11.1%
Technical技术面
NOVT StochRSI turned up from oversoldNOVT StochRSI自超卖区上行
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.82%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±8.54%
Call wall看涨密集区
$150
Put wall看跌密集区
$145
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-6.8%
Flow资金流向
$0M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; P/C 0.0成交权利金 $0M；0DTE占0%；看跌看涨比 0.0
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$6.5M net (0 buyers, 3 sellers)-$6.5M 净值（0 买家，3 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 10, 2026
NOVT StochRSI turned up from oversoldNOVT StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $156.65.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$156.65。
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A LOW → BOTTOMING接近低点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 7, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 7, 2026
NOVT daily MACD crossed downNOVT 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $147.85.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$147.85。
Jul 6, 2026
NOVT took relative-strength leadershipNOVT 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $164.89.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$164.89。
Jul 2, 2026
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
NOVT daily MACD crossed upNOVT 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $161.72.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$161.72。
Jun 30, 2026
NOVT took relative-strength leadershipNOVT 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $162.24.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$162.24。
Jun 29, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 279 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.67
Value价值
-0.7
Profitability盈利能力
-0.4
Quality质量
+0.1
Investment资本投入
-1.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.8
Low volatility低波动
-0.8
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.6
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.7
Short interest空头兴趣
-2.4
Company Profile公司档案
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
- Receivables stretch
- Inventory build
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。