Pegasystems · Tech
PEGA
$32.16
Pegasystems Inc. (Pega) is a global software company based in Waltham, Massachusetts, in the United States, and founded in 1983.PegasystemsInc.（Pega）是一家全球性软件公司，总部位于美国马萨诸塞州沃尔瑟姆，成立于1983年。
Quality compounder优质复利股
Mid cap中盘
$5B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 28.69.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 28.69 下方。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$32.16
51.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 51.7%
Market Cap市值
$5B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
13.9x
40.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.95
Moves about 1.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
51
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-28 (9d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
58th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
9.4% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | PEGA | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +2.9% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 4.4 points跑赢指数 4.4 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +6.5% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 5.9 points跑赢指数 5.9 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -26.3% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 31.0 points落后指数 31.0 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -38.1% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 45.9 points落后指数 45.9 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -42.6% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 51.7 points落后指数 51.7 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -36.7% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 56.1 points落后指数 56.1 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +14.8% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 54.6 points落后指数 54.6 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
51
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-2.3% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-30.3% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
58th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$31.33
Don't chase above不追高于
$32.16
Stop止损
$28.69
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望
Earnings财务业绩
9
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-28
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | PEGA | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 13.92x | 40.17 | 89% |
| P/B市净率 | 6.96x | 5.85 | 43% |
| P/S市销率 | 3.14x | 4.85 | 67% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 7.18% | 2.19 | 91% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 8.96% | 3.05 | 88% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 9.40% | 2.16 | 92% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 19.02x | 29.30 | 65% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 11.16x | 30.46 | 87% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 11.4%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
50.0%Return on Equity股本回报率
24.1%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.77 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.33 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $499.7M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $155.2M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -1.1% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (6.1)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 70% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 70% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.95×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.0× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +15.8%空头仓位变动 +15.8%
Technical技术面
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$30.2M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$30.2M 净值（0 买家，5 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE
UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 14, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 14, 2026
PEGA broke down vs the marketPEGA 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $30.68.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$30.68。
Jul 10, 2026
PEGA broke down vs the marketPEGA 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $31.24.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$31.24。
Jul 6, 2026
PEGA broke down vs the marketPEGA 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $31.28.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$31.28。
Jul 1, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 1, 2026
PEGA daily MACD crossed upPEGA 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $31.09.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$31.09。
Jun 30, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 29, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近高点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 26, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A HIGH下跌趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 26, 2026
PEGA StochRSI turned up from oversoldPEGA StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $30.75.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$30.75。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 245 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.76
Value价值
-0.4
Profitability盈利能力
+2.8
Quality质量
+0.6
Investment资本投入
+1.0
Shareholder payout股东回报
+1.4
Low volatility低波动
-0.8
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.1
Company Profile公司档案
Pegasystems Inc. (Pega) is a global software company based in Waltham, Massachusetts, in the United States, and founded in 1983.PegasystemsInc.（Pega）是一家全球性软件公司，总部位于美国马萨诸塞州沃尔瑟姆，成立于1983年。
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