Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 76.04.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 76.04 下方。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$88.66
60.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 60.0%
Market Cap市值
$5B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
12.7x
40.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.64
Moves about 0.6x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
51
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-06 (18d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
86th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
20.8% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | EPAM | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +5.7% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 7.2 points跑赢指数 7.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +1.1% | +0.6% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -32.5% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 37.2 points落后指数 37.2 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -58.3% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 66.1 points落后指数 66.1 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -55.8% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 64.9 points落后指数 64.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -46.1% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 65.5 points落后指数 65.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -63.9% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 133.3 points落后指数 133.3 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
51
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-3.8% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-40.1% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
86th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$84.97
Don't chase above不追高于
$88.66
Stop止损
$76.04
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望
Earnings财务业绩
18
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-06
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | EPAM | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 12.74x | 40.17 | 94% |
| P/B市净率 | 1.31x | 5.85 | 94% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.88x | 4.85 | 90% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 7.85% | 2.19 | 95% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 12.73% | 3.05 | 96% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 13.76% | 2.16 | 96% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 5.49x | 29.30 | 96% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 7.85x | 30.46 | 95% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 15.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 3.7%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
10.3%Return on Equity股本回报率
7.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -1.97 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 2.59 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $662.2M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $176.8M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -4.6% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (4.2)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 94% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 94% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.64×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.6× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$3.3M net (0 buyers, 4 sellers)-$3.3M 净值（0 买家，4 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE
UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 13, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 10, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 10, 2026
EPAM broke down vs the marketEPAM 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $83.89.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$83.89。
Jul 1, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 1, 2026
EPAM daily MACD crossed upEPAM 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $85.24.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$85.24。
Jun 25, 2026
EPAM StochRSI turned up from oversoldEPAM StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $77.37.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$77.37。
Jun 22, 2026
EPAM printed a daily-cycle lowEPAM 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $76.04.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$76.04。
Jun 18, 2026
EPAM RSI reached oversoldEPAM RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $76.64.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$76.64。
Jun 17, 2026
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 17, 2026
EPAM made a new 52-week lowEPAM 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $87.70.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$87.70。
Jun 17, 2026
EPAM daily MACD crossed downEPAM 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $87.70.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$87.70。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.84
Value价值
+1.0
Quality质量
+1.0
Investment资本投入
+0.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
+2.5
Low volatility低波动
-0.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.8
Company Profile公司档案
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。