NEE NextEra Energy · $88.80 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤 Terminal终端
NextEra Energy · Utilities

NEE

$88.80
NextEra Energy, Inc. is an American energy company that is the world's largest electric utility holding company by market capitalization, with a valuation of over $190 billion as of March 2026.NextEra能源公司是一家美国能源企业,按市值计算是全球最大的电力公用事业控股公司,截至2026年3月估值超过1900亿美元。
Distressed困境股 Large cap大盘 $185B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成,目前价格已拉伸(动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下)。不要追高;等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
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Price Chart价格图表

NEXTERA ENERGY 82.50 85.00 87.50 90.00 92.50 95.00 97.50 88.80 2026-03-10 2026-04-06 2026-04-30 2026-05-26 2026-06-22 2026-07-17 50 SMA VOLUME 40.0MVOL MACD 0.408 MASTERMIND NEEDAILY mastermind-x.comResearch dossier · regenerated nightly© 2026 Mastermind
Full chart in Terminal终端完整图表

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$88.80
8.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 8.6%
Market Cap市值
$185B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
27.1x
22.6x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
20.2x
EPS每股收益 $3.28
Beta贝塔
0.11
Moves about 0.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.1 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
2.81%
RSI (14)RSI(14)
54
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-22 (3d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
6th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.8% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 NEE S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +1.0% -1.5% Beat the index by 2.5 points跑赢指数 2.5 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +3.6% +0.6% Beat the index by 3.0 points跑赢指数 3.0 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -2.8% +4.7% Lagged the index by 7.5 points落后指数 7.5 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +7.7% +7.8% In line with the index与指数基本持平
Year to date年初至今 +11.3% +9.1% Beat the index by 2.2 points跑赢指数 2.2 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +21.5% +19.4% Beat the index by 2.1 points跑赢指数 2.1 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +34.7% +69.4% Lagged the index by 34.7 points落后指数 34.7 个百分点
5 Years近5年 +30.0% +83.9% Lagged the index by 53.9 points落后指数 53.9 个百分点

Technicals技术面

Active signals活跃信号
1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Down
RSI (14)RSI(14) 54 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +0.8% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +2.8% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度(ADX) 14 No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位 6th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$88.12
Don't chase above不追高于
$88.80
Stop止损
$84.84
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

3
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-22

Estimates being cut预期下调

Post-earnings drift: -9.6% (20d)财报后漂移:-9.6%(20日)

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 NEE Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 27.06x 22.58
16%
P/E (forward)市盈率(预测) 20.2x
P/B市净率 3.39x 2.06
6%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 3.70% 4.41
20%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 18.52x 12.72
10%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$17.0B
2020
$18.8B
2021
$23.0B
2022
$24.8B
2023
$23.5B
2024
$25.8B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 8.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$1.48
2020
$1.81
2021
$2.10
2022
$3.60
2023
$3.37
2024
$3.30
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 17.4%
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
32.1%
12.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
3.2%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA6.07
Current ratio流动比率0.60
Capital Allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$185.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)+1.3%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.2) Warning警示

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 11% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 11% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.11×
0.2
Moves about 0.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
2.81%
Pays a dividend (2.81% yield)有分红(收益率 2.81%)

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Utilities (Equal-Weight) theme — #21 of 46 themes「公用事业(等权)」主题 — 46 个主题中第 21 位
Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +16.6%空头仓位变动 +16.6%
Technical技术面 UNCONFIRMED TURN → BUY ZONE未确认转向 → 买入区

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.58%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±3.53%
Call wall看涨密集区
$98
Put wall看跌密集区
$80
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$85
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-2.7%
Flow资金流向

$2M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 11 fresh positions; P/C 0.54; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $2M;0DTE占0%;11个新建仓;看跌看涨比 0.54;≈偏看涨(方向近似)

Skew: 偏斜:balanced

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$32.0M net (0 buyers, 8 sellers)-$32.0M 净值(0 买家,8 卖家)

Signal History信号历史

BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~24 day(s) ago @ 84.84) and momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发(摆动低点出现、动量转向上行),但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点(约 24 天前形成 @ 84.84)且动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下。动量交叉属于滞后确认:在垂直拉升之后,只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发,因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高,而非新的买入。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 14, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BUY ZONE未确认转向 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 1, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 23, 2026
UPTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN上涨趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 18, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → UPTREND未确认转向 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 15, 2026
NEE broke down vs the marketNEE 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $86.12.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$86.12。
Jun 12, 2026
NEE daily MACD crossed upNEE 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $85.99.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$85.99。
Jun 11, 2026
NEE broke down vs the marketNEE 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $84.84.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$84.84。

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.03
Value价值
-0.2
Quality质量
-0.7
Investment资本投入
-0.2
Low volatility低波动
+1.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.2

Company Profile公司档案

NextEra Energy, Inc. is an American energy company that is the world's largest electric utility holding company by market capitalization, with a valuation of over $190 billion as of March 2026.NextEra能源公司是一家美国能源企业,按市值计算是全球最大的电力公用事业控股公司,截至2026年3月估值超过1900亿美元。
Demand chain:需求链: Hyperscaler capex accelerating (+69% YoY to ~$379B) — the demand pool for power & grid buildout云厂商资本开支加速(同比+69%,约 $379B)——电力与电网建设的需求来源
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Receivables stretch
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