Constellation Energy · Utilities
CEG
$252.39
Constellation Energy Corporation is an American energy company headquartered in Baltimore, Maryland. The company provides electric power, natural gas, and energy management services.ConstellationEnergyCorporation是一家美国能源公司，总部位于马里兰州巴尔的摩。该公司提供电力、天然气和能源管理服务。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Large cap大盘
$79B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 236.5.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 236.5 下方。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$252.39
37.3% below 52-week high低于52周高点 37.3%
Market Cap市值
$79B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
34.0x
22.6x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
18.6x
EPS每股收益 $7.43
Beta贝塔
1.42
Moves about 1.4x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.4 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
0.68%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
46
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-06 (18d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
17th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.9% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | CEG | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.4% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 1.9 points跑赢指数 1.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -5.5% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 6.1 points落后指数 6.1 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -14.7% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 19.4 points落后指数 19.4 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -17.7% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 25.5 points落后指数 25.5 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -30.9% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 40.0 points落后指数 40.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -17.6% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 37.0 points落后指数 37.0 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +170.1% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 100.7 points跑赢指数 100.7 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Ichimoku — Price Below CloudTrend Ribbon — Downtrend StateRSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Up
RSI (14)RSI（14）
46
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-5.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-19.1% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
19
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位
17th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$250.80
Don't chase above不追高于
$252.40
Stop止损
$236.50
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望
Earnings财务业绩
18
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-06
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: -13.7% (20d)财报后漂移：-13.7%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | CEG | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 33.96x | 22.58 | 8% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 18.6x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 5.42x | 2.06 | 4% |
| P/S市销率 | 3.08x | 3.01 | 45% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.94% | 4.41 | 12% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 1.64% | -2.94 | 81% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.13% | 2.81 | 11% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 20.34x | 12.72 | 2% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 61.14x | 39.80 | 17% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 1.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
16.0%Return on Equity股本回报率
4.1%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 0.91 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.53 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $385.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -0.3% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.0)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 28% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 28% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.42×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.4× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.4 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
0.68%
Pays a dividend (0.68% yield)有分红（收益率 0.68%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Utilities (Equal-Weight) theme — #21 of 46 themes「公用事业（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 21 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面
CEG daily MACD crossed upCEG 日线MACD上穿
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.18%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±7.12%
Call wall看涨密集区
$280
Put wall看跌密集区
$240
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-2.7%
Flow资金流向
$12M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 19 fresh positions; P/C 1.01; ~leans bearish/hedging (direction approx)成交权利金 $12M；0DTE占0%；19个新建仓；看跌看涨比 1.01；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coatue Management | A | trimtrim | 4.5% | 2026-03-31 |
| Third Point (Loeb) | B | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
| Polen Capital Management | B | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
| Light Street Capital | B | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE
UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 13, 2026
CEG daily MACD crossed upCEG 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $257.57.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$257.57。
Jul 8, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A LOW下跌趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 7, 2026
CEG StochRSI turned up from oversoldCEG StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $239.71.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$239.71。
Jul 6, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A LOW下跌趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 1, 2026
CEG printed a daily-cycle lowCEG 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $236.50.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$236.50。
Jul 1, 2026
CEG made a new 52-week lowCEG 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $236.50.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$236.50。
Jul 1, 2026
CEG daily MACD crossed downCEG 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $236.50.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$236.50。
Jun 29, 2026
CEG broke down vs the marketCEG 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $259.32.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$259.32。
Jun 26, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 360 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.29
Value价值
-0.6
Quality质量
+0.4
Investment资本投入
+0.0
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.7
Low volatility低波动
-0.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.8
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.5
Company Profile公司档案
Constellation Energy Corporation is an American energy company headquartered in Baltimore, Maryland. The company provides electric power, natural gas, and energy management services.ConstellationEnergyCorporation是一家美国能源公司，总部位于马里兰州巴尔的摩。该公司提供电力、天然气和能源管理服务。
Demand chain:需求链： Hyperscaler capex accelerating (+69% YoY to ~$379B) — the demand pool for power & grid buildout云厂商资本开支加速（同比+69%，约 $379B）——电力与电网建设的需求来源
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Receivables stretch
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。