DUK Duke Energy · $125.01 Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势 Terminal终端 ↗

Duke Energy · Utilities

DUK

$125.01

Duke Energy Corporation is an American electric power and natural gas holding company headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina. The company serves over 7 million customers in the eastern United States.杜克能源公司是一家美国电力和天然气控股公司，总部位于北卡罗来纳州夏洛特市。该公司为美国东部超过700万客户提供服务。

Distressed困境股 Large cap大盘 $97B

Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20

Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势

Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 123.52.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 123.52 下方。

Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗ All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Price Chart价格图表

Full chart in Terminal终端完整图表 ↗

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格

$125.01

5.5% below 52-week high低于52周高点 5.5%

Market Cap市值

$97B

Normal volume正常成交量

P/E Ratio市盈率

19.6x

22.6x sector median

Forward P/E预测市盈率

17.4x

EPS每股收益 $6.39

Beta贝塔

-0.29

Moves about -0.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.3 倍

Dividend Yield股息收益率

3.47%

RSI (14)RSI（14）

Neutral zone中性区域

Next Earnings下次财报

2026-08-04 (16d)

Volatility Rank波动率分位

98th pctile

hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数

Short Interest空头兴趣

2.3% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期	DUK	S&P 500	vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周	-0.4%	-1.5%	Beat the index by 1.1 points跑赢指数 1.1 个百分点
1 Month近1月	+1.0%	+0.6%	In line with the index与指数基本持平
3 Months近3月	-1.5%	+4.7%	Lagged the index by 6.2 points落后指数 6.2 个百分点
6 Months近6月	+6.7%	+7.8%	Lagged the index by 1.1 points落后指数 1.1 个百分点
Year to date年初至今	+8.3%	+9.1%	In line with the index与指数基本持平
1 Year近1年	+10.1%	+19.4%	Lagged the index by 9.3 points落后指数 9.3 个百分点
3 Years近3年	+54.3%	+69.4%	Lagged the index by 15.1 points落后指数 15.1 个百分点
5 Years近5年	+44.8%	+83.9%	Lagged the index by 39.1 points落后指数 39.1 个百分点

Technicals技术面

Active signals活跃信号

MA Sell (7)1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)

RSI (14)RSI（14） 48 Neutral zone中性区域

vs 50-day相对50日均线 +0.3% vs 50-day avg

vs 200-day相对200日均线 +1.6% vs 200-day avg

Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX） 11 No clear trend无明显趋势

Volatility rank波动率分位 98th percentile 分位

Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议

Buy zone买入区间

$122.65

Don't chase above不追高于

$125.00

Stop止损

$123.50

Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望

Earnings财务业绩

days until next report天后公布财报

2026-08-04

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标	DUK	Sector median行业中位	Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史）	19.58x	22.58	64%
P/E (forward)市盈率（预测）	17.4x	—	—
P/B市净率	1.88x	2.06	59%
Earnings yield盈利收益率	5.11%	4.41	67%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率	-1.74%	-2.94	68%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA	11.28x	12.72	65%

Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入

$23.5B

2020

$24.7B

2021

$28.7B

2022

$28.7B

2023

$30.1B

2024

$31.7B

2025

5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 6.2%

Earnings Per Share每股收益

$1.72

2020

$4.94

2021

$3.17

2022

$3.54

2023

$5.71

2024

$6.31

2025

5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 29.7%

Free Cash Flow自由现金流

-$1.1B

2020

-$1.4B

2021

-$5.4B

2022

-$2.7B

2023

$48.0M

2024

-$1.7B

2025

Margins利润率

Operating margin营业利润率

27.2%

9.6%Return on Equity股本回报率

2.5%Return on Assets资产回报率

Leverage杠杆

Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA	5.33
Current ratio流动比率	0.55

Capital Allocation资本配置

Stock-based comp股权薪酬	$102.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）	+0.3%

Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (0.7) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业

Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜

Cheaper than 64% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 64% 的公司

Beta市场敏感度

-0.29×

0.21×3×

Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动

Financial Health财务健康

6/8

Altman阿尔特曼: distress

Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般

Dividend分红

3.47%

Pays a dividend (3.47% yield)有分红（收益率 3.47%）

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Utilities (Equal-Weight) theme — #21 of 46 themes「公用事业（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 21 位

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。

Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +15.3%空头仓位变动 +15.3%

Technical技术面 DUK broke down vs the marketDUK 相对市场走弱

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动

±1.22%

Expected weekly move预期周波动

±2.72%

Call wall看涨密集区

$135

Put wall看跌密集区

$115

Gamma flip伽玛翻转

$118

25d risk reversal25d风险逆转

-2.0%

Flow资金流向

$0M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; P/C 0.41; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $0M；0DTE占0%；看跌看涨比 0.41；≈偏看涨（方向近似）

Skew: 偏斜：balanced

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$6.7M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$6.7M 净值（0 买家，5 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向

HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum negative; last cycle left-translated (topped early)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量为负；上一周期左移（见顶偏早））。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%。上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号

COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN

Jul 15, 2026

DUK broke down vs the marketDUK 相对市场走弱

Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $124.34.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$124.34。

Jul 9, 2026

DUK daily MACD crossed downDUK 日线MACD下穿

The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $125.26.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$125.26。

Jul 8, 2026

BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向

HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作

Jul 1, 2026

UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点

GET READY准备

Jul 1, 2026

NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中

BUY SETUP买入预备

Jun 23, 2026

NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势

HOLD持有

Jun 17, 2026

UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点

GET READY准备

Jun 15, 2026

BOTTOMING → COUNTER-TREND BOUNCE筑底中 → 逆势反弹

HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.40

Value价值

+0.5

Quality质量

-0.6

Investment资本投入

+0.2

Low volatility低波动

+1.5

Low market beta低市场敏感度

+1.5

Earnings quality盈利质量

-0.2

Short interest空头兴趣

+0.2

Company Profile公司档案

Demand chain:需求链： Hyperscaler capex accelerating (+69% YoY to ~$379B) — the demand pool for power & grid buildout云厂商资本开支加速（同比+69%，约 $379B）——电力与电网建设的需求来源