Murphy USA · Consumer Disc.
MUSA
$618.57
Murphy USA is an American corporation based in El Dorado, Arkansas that operates a chain of retail gas stations that are primarily located in proximity to Walmart stores. It was founded as a spin-off of Murphy Oil in 2013.墨菲美国公司是一家美国公司，总部位于阿肯色州埃尔多拉多，经营连锁零售加油站，主要位于沃尔玛门店附近。它于2013年从墨菲石油分拆成立。
Mixed profile混合特征
Large cap大盘
$11B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Confirmed cycle low — the entry window is open now, with a clear exit if it closes back below 523.73.周期低点已确认——入场窗口现已开启，若收盘重新跌破 523.73 则明确离场。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$618.57
0.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 0.6%
Market Cap市值
$11B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
24.4x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
-0.49
Moves about -0.5x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.5 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
64
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
63th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.3% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | MUSA | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +4.8% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 6.3 points跑赢指数 6.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +8.2% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 7.6 points跑赢指数 7.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +26.1% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 21.4 points跑赢指数 21.4 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +40.5% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 32.7 points跑赢指数 32.7 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +53.0% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 43.9 points跑赢指数 43.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +47.6% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 28.2 points跑赢指数 28.2 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +96.0% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 26.6 points跑赢指数 26.6 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
64
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+9.7% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+35.0% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
63th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$608.70
Don't chase above不追高于
$626.50
Stop止损
$523.70
Buy zone — entry open now买入区 — 入场窗口已开启
Earnings财务业绩
10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29
Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | MUSA | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 24.36x | 20.23 | 34% |
| P/B市净率 | 18.39x | 2.97 | 6% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.10% | 4.53 | 42% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 3.26% | 5.69 | 28% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 5.67% | 4.31 | 67% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 11.49x | 11.48 | 49% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 30.63x | 16.53 | 22% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 11.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 13.0%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
75.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
10.0%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.03 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.80 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $649.9M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $28.6M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -7.4% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/6
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (7.5)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 29% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 29% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.49×
0.21×3×
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
4/6
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -23.1%空头仓位变动 -23.1%
Technical技术面
MUSA took relative-strength leadershipMUSA 取得相对强弱领先
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$24.0M net (0 buyers, 8 sellers)-$24.0M 净值（0 买家，8 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
FRESH BUY
BUY ZONE
Jul 17, 2026
MUSA took relative-strength leadershipMUSA 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $618.57.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$618.57。
Jul 15, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 14, 2026
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 13, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 13, 2026
MUSA took relative-strength leadershipMUSA 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $610.80.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$610.80。
Jul 10, 2026
MUSA weekly MACD crossed upMUSA 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 8, 2026
MUSA took relative-strength leadershipMUSA 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $606.81.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$606.81。
Jul 7, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 7, 2026
MUSA daily MACD crossed upMUSA 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $575.64.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$575.64。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 273 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.16
Value价值
-0.7
Quality质量
+0.9
Investment资本投入
+0.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.4
Low volatility低波动
-0.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.8
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.5
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.8
Company Profile公司档案
Murphy USA is an American corporation based in El Dorado, Arkansas that operates a chain of retail gas stations that are primarily located in proximity to Walmart stores. It was founded as a spin-off of Murphy Oil in 2013.墨菲美国公司是一家美国公司，总部位于阿肯色州埃尔多拉多，经营连锁零售加油站，主要位于沃尔玛门店附近。它于2013年从墨菲石油分拆成立。
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