MTSI MACOM Technology Solutions · $267.36 Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利 Terminal终端 ↗

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MACOM Technology Solutions · Tech

MTSI

$267.36
MACOM Technology Solutions, Inc. is an American developer and producer of radio, microwave, and millimeter wave semiconductor devices and components.MACOMTechnologySolutions,Inc.是一家美国射频、微波和毫米波半导体器件及组件的开发商和制造商。
Speculative / unprofitable投机／未盈利 Large cap大盘 $20B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$267.36
34.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 34.7%
Market Cap市值
$20B
Normal volume正常成交量
Beta贝塔
2.08
Moves about 2.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
31
Depressed偏低
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-06 (18d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
94th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.7% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 MTSI S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -13.3% -1.5% Lagged the index by 11.8 points落后指数 11.8 个百分点
1 Month近1月 -27.2% +0.6% Lagged the index by 27.8 points落后指数 27.8 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -3.5% +4.7% Lagged the index by 8.2 points落后指数 8.2 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +21.2% +7.8% Beat the index by 13.4 points跑赢指数 13.4 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +52.8% +9.1% Beat the index by 43.7 points跑赢指数 43.7 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +88.6% +19.4% Beat the index by 69.2 points跑赢指数 69.2 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +308.1% +69.4% Beat the index by 238.7 points跑赢指数 238.7 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 31 Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -25.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +11.1% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 94th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$267.40
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期

Earnings财务业绩

18
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-06

Estimates being raised — 13 analysts预期上调 — 13 位分析师

Post-earnings drift: -3.8% (20d)财报后漂移：-3.8%（20日）

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 MTSI Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/B市净率 14.72x 5.85
20%
P/S市销率 20.59x 4.85
7%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 -0.27% 2.19
10%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 0.97% 3.05
19%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 0.22% 2.16
14%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 105.21x 29.30
10%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 103.27x 30.46
12%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$530.0M
2020
$606.9M
2021
$675.2M
2022
$648.4M
2023
$729.6M
2024
$967.3M
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 12.8%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$-0.69
2020
$0.54
2021
$6.18
2022
$1.28
2023
$1.04
2024
$-0.73
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$153.8M
2020
$130.5M
2021
$150.5M
2022
$142.2M
2023
$140.2M
2024
$192.8M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
54.7%
Operating margin营业利润率
13.4%
Net margin净利率
-5.6%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
24.3%
-4.0%Return on Equity股本回报率
-2.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA2.01
Current ratio流动比率3.71
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$43.1M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$79.4M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+3.2%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (16.4) Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 14% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 14% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
2.08×
0.21×3×
Moves about 2.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 MTSI weekly MACD crossed downMTSI 周线MACD下穿

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$400.9M net (0 buyers, 9 sellers)-$400.9M 净值（0 买家，9 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Polen Capital Management B New position新建仓 0.0% 2026-03-31
Whale Rock Capital A Adding加仓 3.4% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → DOWNTREND筑底中 → 下跌趋势
AVOID. Failed cycle — price broke below the low that started this cycle, which historically means the larger trend is rolling over (~80% of cases)回避。失败周期——价格跌破了启动本周期的低点，历史上这通常意味着更大的趋势正在掉头向下（约 80% 的情形）
DECLINE DOWNTREND
Jul 10, 2026
MTSI weekly MACD crossed downMTSI 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 1, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 30, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 26, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 25, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 25, 2026
MTSI took relative-strength leadershipMTSI 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $390.19.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$390.19。
Jun 23, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 22, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UPTREND接近高点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 257 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.43
Value价值
-1.1
Profitability盈利能力
-0.4
Quality质量
+1.3
Investment资本投入
-0.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
-1.0
Low volatility低波动
-1.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.6
Earnings quality盈利质量
+1.7
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.1

Company Profile公司档案

MACOM Technology Solutions, Inc. is an American developer and producer of radio, microwave, and millimeter wave semiconductor devices and components.MACOMTechnologySolutions,Inc.是一家美国射频、微波和毫米波半导体器件及组件的开发商和制造商。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Capital intensity rising
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