McKesson Corporation · Health Care
MCK
$841.39
McKesson Corporation is an American publicly traded company that distributes pharmaceuticals and provides health information technology, medical supplies, and health management tools. The company delivers a third of all pharmaceutical products used or consumed in North America and employs over...麦克森公司是一家美国上市公司，分销药品并提供医疗信息技术、医疗用品和健康管理工具。该公司供应北美使用或消耗的所有药品的三分之一，并雇佣超过8万名员工。
Mixed profile混合特征
Large cap大盘
$103B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Confirmed cycle low — the entry window is open now, with a clear exit if it closes back below 744.85.周期低点已确认——入场窗口现已开启，若收盘重新跌破 744.85 则明确离场。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$841.39
15.4% below 52-week high低于52周高点 15.4%
Market Cap市值
$103B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
21.6x
28.9x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
16.7x
EPS每股收益 $38.88
Beta贝塔
-0.23
Moves about -0.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.2 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
0.39%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
66
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-05 (17d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
92th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.4% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | MCK | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +4.4% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 5.9 points跑赢指数 5.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +7.9% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 7.3 points跑赢指数 7.3 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -2.8% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 7.5 points落后指数 7.5 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +0.3% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 7.5 points落后指数 7.5 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +2.4% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 6.7 points落后指数 6.7 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +18.9% | +19.4% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +107.7% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 38.3 points跑赢指数 38.3 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +356.9% | +83.9% | Beat the index by 273.0 points跑赢指数 273.0 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)Ichimoku — Price Above Cloud
RSI (14)RSI（14）
66
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+9.3% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+1.4% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
20
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位
92th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$830.10
Don't chase above不追高于
$850.40
Stop止损
$744.90
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
17
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-05
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: +5.6% (20d)财报后漂移：+5.6%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | MCK | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 21.64x | 28.92 | 70% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 16.7x | — | — |
| P/S市销率 | 0.26x | 3.02 | 97% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.62% | 2.72 | 78% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 5.38% | 3.94 | 67% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 4.98% | 1.89 | 84% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 21.95x | 18.21 | 38% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 18.58x | 22.42 | 62% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 10.8%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
-366.9%Return on Equity股本回报率
5.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.01 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.90 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $226.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -2.3% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (6.0)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 68% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 68% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.23×
0.21×3×
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
0.39%
Pays a dividend (0.39% yield)有分红（收益率 0.39%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Health Care (Equal-Weight) theme — #6 of 46 themes「医疗保健（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 6 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
MCK weekly MACD crossed upMCK 周线MACD上穿
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.09%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.68%
Call wall看涨密集区
$830
Put wall看跌密集区
$750
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$704
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-5.0%
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$4.3M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$4.3M 净值（0 买家，5 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lone Pine Capital | B | New position新建仓 | 2.7% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
FRESH BUY
BUY ZONE
Jul 17, 2026
MCK weekly MACD crossed upMCK 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 16, 2026
MCK reclaimed its 200-day averageMCK 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $841.31.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$841.31。
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 10, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 7, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 1, 2026
MCK daily MACD crossed upMCK 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $768.06.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$768.06。
Jun 29, 2026
MCK daily MACD crossed downMCK 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $747.53.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$747.53。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.13
Value价值
+0.7
Profitability盈利能力
-0.8
Quality质量
-0.8
Investment资本投入
-0.6
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.2
Low volatility低波动
+0.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.5
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.6
Company Profile公司档案
McKesson Corporation is an American publicly traded company that distributes pharmaceuticals and provides health information technology, medical supplies, and health management tools. The company delivers a third of all pharmaceutical products used or consumed in North America and employs over...麦克森公司是一家美国上市公司，分销药品并提供医疗信息技术、医疗用品和健康管理工具。该公司供应北美使用或消耗的所有药品的三分之一，并雇佣超过8万名员工。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
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