ISRG Intuitive Surgical · $345.42 Avoid — downtrend回避 — 下行趋势 Terminal终端
Intuitive Surgical · Health Care

ISRG

$345.42
Intuitive Surgical, Inc. is an American biotechnology company that develops, manufactures, and markets robotic products designed to improve clinical outcomes of patients through minimally invasive surgery, most notably with the da Vinci Surgical System.直觉外科公司是一家美国生物技术公司,开发、制造和销售旨在通过微创手术改善患者临床结果的机器人产品,其中最著名的是达芬奇手术系统。
Broken growth成长受损 Large cap大盘 $123B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Avoid — downtrend回避 — 下行趋势
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望,直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
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Price Chart价格图表

INTUITIVE SURGICAL 350.00 375.00 400.00 425.00 450.00 475.00 500.00 345.42 2026-03-10 2026-04-06 2026-04-30 2026-05-26 2026-06-22 2026-07-17 50 SMA VOLUME 11.6MVOL MACD -10.058 MASTERMIND ISRGDAILY mastermind-x.comResearch dossier · regenerated nightly© 2026 Mastermind
Full chart in Terminal终端完整图表

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$345.42
41.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 41.7%
Market Cap市值
$123B
Heavy volume成交量大幅偏高
P/E Ratio市盈率
43.0x
28.9x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
28.8x
EPS每股收益 $8.04
Beta贝塔
0.88
Moves about 0.9x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.9 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
30
Oversold超卖区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-28 (9d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
100th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.1% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 ISRG S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -15.1% -1.5% Lagged the index by 13.6 points落后指数 13.6 个百分点
1 Month近1月 -14.1% +0.6% Lagged the index by 14.7 points落后指数 14.7 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -26.4% +4.7% Lagged the index by 31.1 points落后指数 31.1 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -35.4% +7.8% Lagged the index by 43.2 points落后指数 43.2 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -38.5% +9.1% Lagged the index by 47.6 points落后指数 47.6 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -33.1% +19.4% Lagged the index by 52.5 points落后指数 52.5 个百分点
3 Years近3年 -2.7% +69.4% Lagged the index by 72.1 points落后指数 72.1 个百分点
5 Years近5年 +9.1% +83.9% Lagged the index by 74.8 points落后指数 74.8 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 30 Oversold超卖区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -17.2% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -29.0% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度(ADX) 21 Trending趋势中
Volatility rank波动率分位 100th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$345.40
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期

Earnings财务业绩

9
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-28

Estimates being cut预期下调

Post-earnings drift: -11.6% (20d)财报后漂移:-11.6%(20日)

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 ISRG Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 42.95x 28.92
24%
P/E (forward)市盈率(预测) 28.8x
P/B市净率 6.88x 3.52
20%
P/S市销率 12.19x 3.02
9%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 2.33% 2.72
44%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 2.03% 3.94
25%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 1.87% 1.89
50%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 33.65x 18.21
16%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 49.25x 22.42
13%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$4.4B
2020
$5.7B
2021
$6.2B
2022
$7.1B
2023
$8.4B
2024
$10.1B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 18.2%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$8.82
2020
$4.66
2021
$3.65
2022
$5.03
2023
$6.42
2024
$7.87
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -2.3%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$1.1B
2020
$1.7B
2021
$958.4M
2022
$749.6M
2023
$1.3B
2024
$2.5B
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
66.0%
Operating margin营业利润率
29.3%
Net margin净利率
28.4%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
30.1%
16.0%Return on Equity股本回报率
14.0%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.95
Current ratio流动比率4.87
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$2.3B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$788.2M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)-0.4%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (31.1) Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 19% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 19% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.88×
0.2
Moves about 0.9× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.9 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Health Care (Equal-Weight) theme — #6 of 46 themes「医疗保健(等权)」主题 — 46 个主题中第 6 位
Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 ISRG made a new 52-week lowISRG 创52周新低

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛,价格波动可能被放大

Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.23%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.98%
Call wall看涨密集区
$382
Put wall看跌密集区
$345
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
0.7%
Flow资金流向

$24M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 99 fresh positions; P/C 0.66; net new PUT positioning (defensive / hedging) (ΔOI +13,309); ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $24M;0DTE占0%;99个新建仓;看跌看涨比 0.66;净新增看跌持仓(防御/对冲)(ΔOI +13,309);≈偏看涨(方向近似)

Skew: 偏斜:balanced

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$85.2M net (0 buyers, 9 sellers)-$85.2M 净值(0 买家,9 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
RTW Investments B Adding加仓 1.0% 2026-03-31
Coatue Management A Holding持有 1.4% 2026-03-31
Perceptive Advisors A Holding持有 0.8% 2026-03-31
Polen Capital Management B trimtrim 1.9% 2026-03-31
Giverny Capital C exitexit 0.0% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID. Failed cycle — price broke below the low that started this cycle, which historically means the larger trend is rolling over (~80% of cases). Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell回避。失败周期——价格跌破了启动本周期的低点,历史上这通常意味着更大的趋势正在掉头向下(约 80% 的情形)。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号
DECLINE DOWNTREND
Jul 17, 2026
ISRG made a new 52-week lowISRG 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $345.42.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$345.42。
Jul 16, 2026
ISRG StochRSI turned up from oversoldISRG StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $402.33.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$402.33。
Jul 14, 2026
ISRG made a new 52-week lowISRG 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $379.50.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$379.50。
Jul 14, 2026
ISRG daily MACD crossed downISRG 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $379.50.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$379.50。
Jul 10, 2026
ISRG broke down vs the marketISRG 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $406.78.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$406.78。
Jun 30, 2026
ISRG made a new 52-week lowISRG 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $397.68.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$397.68。
Jun 29, 2026
ISRG broke down vs the marketISRG 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $405.97.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$405.97。
Jun 29, 2026
ISRG StochRSI turned up from oversoldISRG StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $405.97.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$405.97。
Jun 26, 2026
ISRG daily MACD crossed upISRG 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $404.70.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$404.70。

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.28
Value价值
-0.8
Profitability盈利能力
+0.1
Quality质量
-0.6
Investment资本投入
-0.0
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.6
Low volatility低波动
+0.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.7
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.8

Company Profile公司档案

Intuitive Surgical, Inc. is an American biotechnology company that develops, manufactures, and markets robotic products designed to improve clinical outcomes of patients through minimally invasive surgery, most notably with the da Vinci Surgical System.直觉外科公司是一家美国生物技术公司,开发、制造和销售旨在通过微创手术改善患者临床结果的机器人产品,其中最著名的是达芬奇手术系统。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Margin compression despite revenue growth
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