Louisiana-Pacific · Industrials
LPX
$73.98
Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LP) is an American building materials manufacturer. The company was founded in 1973 and began the first U.S. commercial production of oriented strand board (OSB) panels.Louisiana-PacificCorporation(LP)是一家美国建筑材料制造商。公司成立于1973年,率先在美国实现定向刨花板(OSB)的商业化生产。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Mid cap中盘
$5B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Setup almost complete — likely buy trigger in ~1–4 trading days if it closes back above its 10-day average.形态接近完成——若收盘重新站上 10 日均线,预计将在约 1–4 个交易日内出现买入触发。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$73.98
27.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 27.0%
Market Cap市值
$5B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
35.5x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.21
Moves about 1.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
47
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-05 (17d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
78th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
10.1% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | LPX | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +1.1% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 2.6 points跑赢指数 2.6 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -1.7% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 2.3 points落后指数 2.3 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -3.5% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 8.2 points落后指数 8.2 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -19.9% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 27.7 points落后指数 27.7 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -8.8% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 17.9 points落后指数 17.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -15.3% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 34.7 points落后指数 34.7 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -1.2% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 70.6 points落后指数 70.6 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI(14)
47
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-0.5% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-7.6% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
78th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$73.03
Don't chase above不追高于
$75.03
Stop止损
$72.09
Buy soon — on confirmation即将买入 — 待确认
Earnings财务业绩
17
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-05
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | LPX | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) | 35.47x | 29.89 | 35% |
| P/B市净率 | 2.99x | 3.90 | 63% |
| P/S市销率 | 1.91x | 2.21 | 57% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.82% | 3.10 | 41% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 1.76% | 3.81 | 18% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.18% | 2.29 | 26% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 15.09x | 16.39 | 55% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 56.91x | 25.50 | 11% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -0.6%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -14.1%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
8.4%Return on Equity股本回报率
5.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 0.16 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 2.78 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM) | $61.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $30.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年) | +0.0% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (5.9)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 46% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 46% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.21×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
LPX StochRSI turned up from oversoldLPX StochRSI自超卖区上行
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$13.3M net (2 buyers, 2 sellers)-$13.3M 净值(2 买家,2 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett) | B | Holding持有 | 0.2% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 16, 2026
LPX StochRSI turned up from oversoldLPX StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $76.88.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$76.88。
Jul 7, 2026
LPX daily MACD crossed downLPX 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $74.78.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$74.78。
Jul 1, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 30, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 29, 2026
LPX lost its 200-day averageLPX 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $80.54.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$80.54。
Jun 25, 2026
LPX reclaimed its 200-day averageLPX 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $81.60.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$81.60。
Jun 24, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条,共 238 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.09
Value价值
-0.3
Profitability盈利能力
-0.5
Quality质量
+0.9
Investment资本投入
+0.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.7
Low volatility低波动
-0.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.5
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.7
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.1
Company Profile公司档案
Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LP) is an American building materials manufacturer. The company was founded in 1973 and began the first U.S. commercial production of oriented strand board (OSB) panels.Louisiana-PacificCorporation(LP)是一家美国建筑材料制造商。公司成立于1973年,率先在美国实现定向刨花板(OSB)的商业化生产。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
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