LPX Louisiana-Pacific · $73.98 Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势 Terminal终端
Louisiana-Pacific · Industrials

LPX

$73.98
Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LP) is an American building materials manufacturer. The company was founded in 1973 and began the first U.S. commercial production of oriented strand board (OSB) panels.Louisiana-PacificCorporation(LP)是一家美国建筑材料制造商。公司成立于1973年,率先在美国实现定向刨花板(OSB)的商业化生产。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感 Mid cap中盘 $5B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Setup almost complete — likely buy trigger in ~1–4 trading days if it closes back above its 10-day average.形态接近完成——若收盘重新站上 10 日均线,预计将在约 1–4 个交易日内出现买入触发。
Open in Terminal打开终端 All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$73.98
27.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 27.0%
Market Cap市值
$5B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
35.5x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.21
Moves about 1.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
47
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-05 (17d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
78th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
10.1% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 LPX S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +1.1% -1.5% Beat the index by 2.6 points跑赢指数 2.6 个百分点
1 Month近1月 -1.7% +0.6% Lagged the index by 2.3 points落后指数 2.3 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -3.5% +4.7% Lagged the index by 8.2 points落后指数 8.2 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -19.9% +7.8% Lagged the index by 27.7 points落后指数 27.7 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -8.8% +9.1% Lagged the index by 17.9 points落后指数 17.9 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -15.3% +19.4% Lagged the index by 34.7 points落后指数 34.7 个百分点
3 Years近3年 -1.2% +69.4% Lagged the index by 70.6 points落后指数 70.6 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 47 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -0.5% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -7.6% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 78th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$73.03
Don't chase above不追高于
$75.03
Stop止损
$72.09
Buy soon — on confirmation即将买入 — 待确认

Earnings财务业绩

17
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-05

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 LPX Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 35.47x 29.89
35%
P/B市净率 2.99x 3.90
63%
P/S市销率 1.91x 2.21
57%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 2.82% 3.10
41%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 1.76% 3.81
18%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 1.18% 2.29
26%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 15.09x 16.39
55%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 56.91x 25.50
11%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$2.8B
2020
$4.6B
2021
$3.9B
2022
$2.6B
2023
$2.9B
2024
$2.7B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -0.6%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$4.46
2020
$14.09
2021
$13.87
2022
$2.46
2023
$5.89
2024
$2.08
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -14.1%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$582.0M
2020
$1.2B
2021
$732.0M
2022
$16.0M
2023
$422.0M
2024
$91.0M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
21.8%
Operating margin营业利润率
7.7%
Net margin净利率
5.4%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
14.1%
8.4%Return on Equity股本回报率
5.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA0.16
Current ratio流动比率2.78
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$61.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$30.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)+0.0%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (5.9) Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 46% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 46% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.21×
0.2
Moves about 1.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 LPX StochRSI turned up from oversoldLPX StochRSI自超卖区上行

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$13.3M net (2 buyers, 2 sellers)-$13.3M 净值(2 买家,2 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett) B Holding持有 0.2% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. Buyers rejected the 2026-07-08 low (swing low printed) but price hasn't reclaimed its 10-day average — first box ticked, not all. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell买入预备。买方拒绝了 2026-07-08 的低点(摆动低点已现),但价格尚未收复 10 日均线——第一项条件达成,并非全部。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号
TURN SIGNALED BOTTOMING
Jul 16, 2026
LPX StochRSI turned up from oversoldLPX StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $76.88.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$76.88。
Jul 7, 2026
LPX daily MACD crossed downLPX 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $74.78.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$74.78。
Jul 1, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 30, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 29, 2026
LPX lost its 200-day averageLPX 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $80.54.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$80.54。
Jun 25, 2026
LPX reclaimed its 200-day averageLPX 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $81.60.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$81.60。
Jun 24, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条,共 238 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.09
Value价值
-0.3
Profitability盈利能力
-0.5
Quality质量
+0.9
Investment资本投入
+0.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.7
Low volatility低波动
-0.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.5
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.7
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.1

Company Profile公司档案

Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LP) is an American building materials manufacturer. The company was founded in 1973 and began the first U.S. commercial production of oriented strand board (OSB) panels.Louisiana-PacificCorporation(LP)是一家美国建筑材料制造商。公司成立于1973年,率先在美国实现定向刨花板(OSB)的商业化生产。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Capital intensity rising
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