Alaska Air Group · Industrials
ALK
$45.51
Alaska Air Group, Inc. is an American airline holding company based in SeaTac, Washington, United States.阿拉斯加航空集团是一家美国航空控股公司，总部位于美国华盛顿州西塔科。
Distressed困境股
Mid cap中盘
$5B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
A cycle low is due in roughly ~0–4 trading days — watch for the turn, don't front-run it.周期低点预计在约 ~0–4 个交易日内出现——等待转向，切勿抢跑。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$45.51
28.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 28.7%
Market Cap市值
$5B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
52.6x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
2.22
Moves about 2.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.2 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
43
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-22 (3d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
41th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
10.6% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | ALK | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -7.9% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 6.4 points落后指数 6.4 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -5.7% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 6.3 points落后指数 6.3 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +0.2% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 4.5 points落后指数 4.5 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -9.1% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 16.9 points落后指数 16.9 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -11.7% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 20.8 points落后指数 20.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -14.3% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 33.7 points落后指数 33.7 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -14.8% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 84.2 points落后指数 84.2 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
43
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+0.2% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-0.9% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
41th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$43.91
Don't chase above不追高于
$45.51
Stop止损
$45.51
Watch — a low is approaching观察 — 低点临近
Earnings财务业绩
3
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-22
Estimates roughly stable预期基本稳定
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | ALK | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 52.58x | 29.89 | 21% |
| P/B市净率 | 1.28x | 3.90 | 94% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.37x | 2.21 | 96% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.90% | 3.10 | 28% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 10.84% | 2.29 | 98% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 9.05x | 16.39 | 86% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 31.9%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
2.4%Return on Equity股本回报率
0.5%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 4.26 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.50 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $570.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $10.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -6.2% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.1)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 74% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 74% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
2.22×
0.21×3×
Moves about 2.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.2 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Travel & Experiences theme — #19 of 46 themes「旅行与体验」主题 — 46 个主题中第 19 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
ALK lost its 200-day averageALK 跌破200日均线
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.87%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±8.66%
Call wall看涨密集区
$50
Put wall看跌密集区
$42
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
0.3%
Flow资金流向
$1M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 3 fresh positions; P/C 1.49; net new PUT positioning (defensive / hedging) (ΔOI -12,501); ~leans bearish/hedging (direction approx)成交权利金 $1M；0DTE占0%；3个新建仓；看跌看涨比 1.49；净新增看跌持仓（防御/对冲）（ΔOI -12,501）；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$3.2M net (0 buyers, 3 sellers)-$3.2M 净值（0 买家，3 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
BOTTOM WATCH
NEARING A LOW
Jul 17, 2026
ALK lost its 200-day averageALK 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $45.51.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$45.51。
Jul 6, 2026
ALK daily MACD crossed downALK 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $50.41.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$50.41。
Jul 2, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 1, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 30, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 29, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UPTREND接近高点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 26, 2026
ALK took relative-strength leadershipALK 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $53.86.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$53.86。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 255 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.56
Value价值
+1.5
Quality质量
+0.2
Investment资本投入
+0.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
+1.7
Low volatility低波动
-0.9
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.8
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.3
Company Profile公司档案
Alaska Air Group, Inc. is an American airline holding company based in SeaTac, Washington, United States.阿拉斯加航空集团是一家美国航空控股公司，总部位于美国华盛顿州西塔科。
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。