Amentum · Industrials
AMTM
$20.68
Amentum Holdings, Inc. is an American government and commercial services contractor based in Chantilly, Virginia.Amentum控股公司是一家美国政府和商业服务承包商，总部位于弗吉尼亚州尚蒂利。
Cyclical周期股
Mid cap中盘
$5B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 20.09.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 20.09 下方。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$20.68
44.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 44.9%
Market Cap市值
$5B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
76.4x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.12
Moves about 1.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
43
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
70th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.6% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | AMTM | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -1.6% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -3.8% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 4.4 points落后指数 4.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -25.0% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 29.7 points落后指数 29.7 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -40.6% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 48.4 points落后指数 48.4 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -32.2% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 41.3 points落后指数 41.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -19.0% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 38.4 points落后指数 38.4 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
43
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-6.9% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-22.3% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
70th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$20.04
Don't chase above不追高于
$20.68
Stop止损
$20.09
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望
Earnings财务业绩
16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04
Estimates roughly stable预期基本稳定
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | AMTM | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 76.38x | 29.89 | 9% |
| P/B市净率 | 1.11x | 3.90 | 97% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.35x | 2.21 | 96% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.31% | 3.10 | 18% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 10.24% | 3.81 | 91% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 16.44x | 16.39 | 49% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 9.77x | 25.50 | 89% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 71.6%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
1.4%Return on Equity股本回报率
0.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 6.74 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.32 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $21.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.2% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (1.9)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 68% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 68% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.12×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/9
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soros Fund Management | B | Holding持有 | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE
UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 13, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 10, 2026
AMTM broke down vs the marketAMTM 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $21.01.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$21.01。
Jul 7, 2026
AMTM broke down vs the marketAMTM 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $21.18.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$21.18。
Jul 2, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 2, 2026
AMTM daily MACD crossed upAMTM 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $21.24.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$21.24。
Jun 30, 2026
AMTM StochRSI turned up from oversoldAMTM StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $20.67.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$20.67。
Jun 25, 2026
AMTM printed a daily-cycle lowAMTM 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $20.09.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$20.09。
Jun 24, 2026
AMTM RSI reached oversoldAMTM RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $20.38.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$20.38。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 163 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.39
Value价值
+1.5
Quality质量
-0.4
Investment资本投入
+0.9
Low volatility低波动
-0.4
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.7
Company Profile公司档案
Amentum Holdings, Inc. is an American government and commercial services contractor based in Chantilly, Virginia.Amentum控股公司是一家美国政府和商业服务承包商，总部位于弗吉尼亚州尚蒂利。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。