LCII LCI Industries · $108.17 Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势 Terminal终端 ↗

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LCI Industries · Consumer Disc.

LCII

$108.17
Cyclical周期股 Mid cap中盘 $3B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 89.73.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 89.73 下方。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$108.17
29.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 29.8%
Market Cap市值
$3B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
13.9x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.95
Moves about 1.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
62
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
73th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
8.4% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 LCII S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +7.0% -1.5% Beat the index by 8.5 points跑赢指数 8.5 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +20.6% +0.6% Beat the index by 20.0 points跑赢指数 20.0 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -11.5% +4.7% Lagged the index by 16.2 points落后指数 16.2 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -19.7% +7.8% Lagged the index by 27.5 points落后指数 27.5 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -11.3% +9.1% Lagged the index by 20.4 points落后指数 20.4 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +15.0% +19.4% Lagged the index by 4.4 points落后指数 4.4 个百分点
3 Years近3年 -6.3% +69.4% Lagged the index by 75.7 points落后指数 75.7 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 62 Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +5.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -5.7% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 73th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$102.30
Don't chase above不追高于
$108.20
Stop止损
$89.73
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望

Earnings财务业绩

16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 LCII Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 13.90x 20.23
72%
P/B市净率 1.92x 2.97
63%
P/S市销率 0.64x 1.23
70%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 7.19% 4.53
75%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 10.63% 5.69
83%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 4.91% 4.31
57%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 8.33x 11.48
67%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 9.40x 16.53
81%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$2.8B
2020
$4.5B
2021
$5.2B
2022
$3.8B
2023
$3.7B
2024
$4.1B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 8.1%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$6.27
2020
$11.32
2021
$15.48
2022
$2.52
2023
$5.60
2024
$7.57
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 3.8%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$174.1M
2020
-$210.1M
2021
$471.9M
2022
$465.0M
2023
$328.0M
2024
$278.3M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
23.8%
Operating margin营业利润率
6.8%
Net margin净利率
4.6%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
8.0%
13.8%Return on Equity股本回报率
5.9%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA1.80
Current ratio流动比率2.85
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$128.6M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$22.7M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-5.0%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 8/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.4) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 71% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 71% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.95×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.0× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
Financial Health财务健康
8/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$13.1M net (0 buyers, 3 sellers)-$13.1M 净值（0 买家，3 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A HIGH → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近高点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum curling up; investor cycle overdue; last cycle left-translated (topped early)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量开始上翘；投资者周期已逾期；上一周期左移（见顶偏早））。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 10, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 8, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 6, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 23, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 23, 2026
LCII daily MACD crossed upLCII 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $92.26.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$92.26。
Jun 17, 2026
LCII printed a daily-cycle lowLCII 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $89.73.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$89.73。
Jun 16, 2026
LCII StochRSI turned up from oversoldLCII StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $92.78.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$92.78。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 273 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.16
Value价值
+0.7
Profitability盈利能力
-0.0
Quality质量
-0.1
Investment资本投入
-0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.2
Low volatility低波动
+0.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.0
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.2

Company Profile公司档案

Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Receivables stretch
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