KNSL Kinsale Capital Group · $343.99 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤 Terminal终端
Kinsale Capital Group · Financials

KNSL

$343.99
Financial金融股 Mid cap中盘 $8B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
Stretched/late — protect gains and don't start new positions; let the next low set up first.已拉伸/晚期——保护利润,不要新开仓;先等下一个低点构筑成形。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$343.99
29.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 29.0%
Market Cap市值
$8B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
15.8x
15.0x sector median
Beta贝塔
-0.10
Moves about -0.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
58
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-23 (4d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
99th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
10.9% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 KNSL S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +1.0% -1.5% Beat the index by 2.5 points跑赢指数 2.5 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +11.2% +0.6% Beat the index by 10.6 points跑赢指数 10.6 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -4.6% +4.7% Lagged the index by 9.3 points落后指数 9.3 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -13.6% +7.8% Lagged the index by 21.4 points落后指数 21.4 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -12.2% +9.1% Lagged the index by 21.3 points落后指数 21.3 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -28.7% +19.4% Lagged the index by 48.1 points落后指数 48.1 个百分点
3 Years近3年 -8.3% +69.4% Lagged the index by 77.7 points落后指数 77.7 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 58 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +8.7% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -6.5% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 99th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$335.60
Don't chase above不追高于
$344.00
Stop止损
$295.10
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

4
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-23

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 KNSL Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 15.81x 14.99
44%
P/B市净率 4.06x 1.52
11%
P/S市销率 4.25x 2.87
34%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 6.33% 6.58
46%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 1.13% 3.91
15%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$459.9M
2020
$639.8M
2021
$819.2M
2022
$1.2B
2023
$1.6B
2024
$1.9B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 32.4%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$3.87
2020
$6.62
2021
$6.88
2022
$13.22
2023
$17.78
2024
$21.65
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 41.1%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$247.1M
2020
$401.1M
2021
$550.9M
2022
$853.2M
2023
$952.4M
2024
$990.1M
2025
Margins利润率
Net margin净利率
26.9%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
55.7%
25.7%Return on Equity股本回报率
8.3%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$90.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$17.9M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)-0.5%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/7 Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 30% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 30% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.10×
0.2
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
4/7
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Insurance & Brokers theme — #5 of 46 themes「保险与经纪」主题 — 46 个主题中第 5 位
Macro宏观 Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 KNSL daily MACD crossed downKNSL 日线MACD下穿

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.03%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±6.78%
Call wall看涨密集区
$360
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-5.1%
Skew: 偏斜:fear

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$2.8M net (1 buyers, 3 sellers)-$2.8M 净值(1 买家,3 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Giverny Capital C Holding持有 2.7% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. Late in the daily cycle (day 30 of ~23-44) — odds favor a dip into the next cycle low from here even with the trend intact. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell止盈。处于日线周期晚期(约 23-44 天中的第 30 天)——即便趋势完好,从此处概率上仍倾向于回落至下一个周期低点。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 15, 2026
KNSL daily MACD crossed downKNSL 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $319.61.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$319.61。
Jul 14, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 13, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 10, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 9, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 6, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条,共 252 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.15
Value价值
-0.3
Quality质量
+0.8
Investment资本投入
-0.9
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.7
Low volatility低波动
+0.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.9
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.2

Company Profile公司档案

Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Capital intensity rising
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