CBSH Commerce Bancshares · $59.14 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

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Commerce Bancshares · Financials

CBSH

$59.14
Commerce Bancshares, Inc. is a regional bank holding company headquartered in Missouri, with principal offices in Kansas City and St.CommerceBancshares,Inc.是一家区域性银行控股公司，总部位于密苏里州，主要办公室设在堪萨斯城和圣路易斯。
Financial金融股 Mid cap中盘 $8B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Stretched/late — protect gains and don't start new positions; let the next low set up first.已拉伸／晚期——保护利润，不要新开仓；先等下一个低点构筑成形。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$59.14
2.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 2.0%
Market Cap市值
$8B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
13.8x
15.0x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.40
Moves about 0.4x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.4 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
65
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-15 (-4d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
31th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.2% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 CBSH S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +1.3% -1.5% Beat the index by 2.8 points跑赢指数 2.8 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +8.1% +0.6% Beat the index by 7.5 points跑赢指数 7.5 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +16.3% +4.7% Beat the index by 11.6 points跑赢指数 11.6 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +10.1% +7.8% Beat the index by 2.3 points跑赢指数 2.3 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +14.4% +9.1% Beat the index by 5.3 points跑赢指数 5.3 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -1.4% +19.4% Lagged the index by 20.8 points落后指数 20.8 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +42.3% +69.4% Lagged the index by 27.1 points落后指数 27.1 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 65 Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +8.4% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +13.3% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 31th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$58.12
Don't chase above不追高于
$59.14
Stop止损
$54.72
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

Estimates being raised — 2 analysts预期上调 — 2 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 CBSH Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 13.83x 14.99
58%
P/B市净率 2.07x 1.52
36%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 7.23% 6.58
60%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 2.65% 3.91
30%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Earnings Per Share每股收益
$2.91
2020
$4.31
2021
$3.85
2022
$3.64
2023
$3.87
2024
$4.04
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 6.8%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$590.9M
2020
$541.0M
2021
$494.2M
2022
$400.7M
2023
$531.7M
2024
$592.4M
2025
Margins利润率
14.9%Return on Equity股本回报率
1.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$207.6M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$17.3M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+3.3%
Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 47% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 47% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.40×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.4× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.4 倍
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 CBSH StochRSI turned up from oversoldCBSH StochRSI自超卖区上行

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$2.0M net (1 buyers, 7 sellers)-$2.0M 净值（1 买家，7 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Basswood Capital Management B New position新建仓 0.7% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. Late in the daily cycle (day 44 of ~23-44) — odds favor a dip into the next cycle low from here even with the trend intact止盈。处于日线周期晚期（约 23-44 天中的第 44 天）——即便趋势完好，从此处概率上仍倾向于回落至下一个周期低点
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 17, 2026
CBSH StochRSI turned up from oversoldCBSH StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $59.14.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$59.14。
Jul 16, 2026
CBSH took relative-strength leadershipCBSH 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $59.40.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$59.40。
Jul 14, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 13, 2026
CBSH StochRSI turned up from oversoldCBSH StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $58.49.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$58.49。
Jul 10, 2026
CBSH daily MACD crossed downCBSH 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $58.37.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$58.37。
Jul 9, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 200 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.18
Value价值
+0.4
Quality质量
-0.7
Investment资本投入
+0.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.3
Low volatility低波动
+1.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.6
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.8
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.2

Company Profile公司档案

Commerce Bancshares, Inc. is a regional bank holding company headquartered in Missouri, with principal offices in Kansas City and St.CommerceBancshares,Inc.是一家区域性银行控股公司，总部位于密苏里州，主要办公室设在堪萨斯城和圣路易斯。
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