Celanese · Materials
CE
$45.70
Celanese Corporation, formerly known as Hoechst Celanese, is an American technology and specialty materials company headquartered in Irving, Texas. It is a Fortune 500 corporation.CelaneseCorporation（原名HoechstCelanese）是一家美国技术与特种材料公司，总部位于德克萨斯州欧文，名列《财富》500强。
Speculative / unprofitable投机／未盈利
Mid cap中盘
$5B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
A normal mid-cycle dip below the 10-day average — the real cycle low isn't due for ~12+ trading days. Wait for support t这是跌破 10 日均线的正常周期中段回调——真正的周期低点要到约 12+ 个交易日后才会到来。等待支撑站稳，或等下一个低点构筑成形。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$45.70
34.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 34.0%
Market Cap市值
$5B
Normal volume正常成交量
Beta贝塔
0.69
Moves about 0.7x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
37
Depressed偏低
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-10 (22d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
10th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
7.2% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | CE | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -2.6% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 1.1 points落后指数 1.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -10.8% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 11.4 points落后指数 11.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -26.3% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 31.0 points落后指数 31.0 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -2.5% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 10.3 points落后指数 10.3 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +8.5% | +9.1% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -21.7% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 41.1 points落后指数 41.1 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -61.7% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 131.1 points落后指数 131.1 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
37
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-11.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-8.5% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
10th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$44.31
Don't chase above不追高于
$45.70
Stop止损
$45.20
Wait for the pullback等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
22
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-10
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | CE | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/B市净率 | 1.24x | 2.82 | 87% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.52x | 1.64 | 87% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | -23.28% | 2.96 | 4% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 16.05% | 3.23 | 100% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.26% | 2.70 | 8% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 6.23x | 25.03 | 98% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 11.0%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
-28.8%Return on Equity股本回报率
-5.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.55 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $24.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.2% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.2)
Warning警示
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 91% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 91% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.69×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.7× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: +$0.4M net (2 buyers, 0 sellers)+$0.4M 净值（2 买家，0 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
BOTTOM WATCH
NEARING A LOW
Jul 15, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 13, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 8, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 7, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 7, 2026
CE daily MACD crossed upCE 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $48.68.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$48.68。
Jul 2, 2026
CE StochRSI turned up from oversoldCE StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $47.68.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$47.68。
Jul 1, 2026
CE printed a daily-cycle lowCE 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $45.20.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$45.20。
Jul 1, 2026
CE RSI reached oversoldCE RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $45.20.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$45.20。
Jun 23, 2026
CE lost its 200-day averageCE 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $48.13.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$48.13。
Jun 23, 2026
CE daily MACD crossed downCE 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $48.13.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$48.13。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.39
Value价值
-0.2
Profitability盈利能力
-1.3
Quality质量
+0.5
Investment资本投入
+0.8
Shareholder payout股东回报
-1.0
Low volatility低波动
-1.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.9
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.3
Company Profile公司档案
Celanese Corporation, formerly known as Hoechst Celanese, is an American technology and specialty materials company headquartered in Irving, Texas. It is a Fortune 500 corporation.CelaneseCorporation（原名HoechstCelanese）是一家美国技术与特种材料公司，总部位于德克萨斯州欧文，名列《财富》500强。
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