Kennametal · Industrials
KMT
$33.74
Kennametal, Inc. is a manufacturer of high-performance cutting tools and engineered components used in the aerospace, defense, transportation and oil and gas drilling industries.Kennametal,Inc.是一家生产高性能切削工具和工程部件的制造商，产品应用于航空航天、国防、交通运输以及油气钻探行业。
Cyclical周期股
Mid cap中盘
$3B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
High-confluence leader (context)高共振 领先（参考）
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the daily momentum is already rollin筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且日线动量已开始掉头向下——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$33.74
21.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 21.6%
Market Cap市值
$3B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
27.6x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.26
Moves about 1.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.3 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
46
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-05 (17d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
56th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
6.7% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | KMT | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.4% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 1.9 points跑赢指数 1.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -7.2% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 7.8 points落后指数 7.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -12.9% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 17.6 points落后指数 17.6 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +0.2% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 7.6 points落后指数 7.6 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +17.6% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 8.5 points跑赢指数 8.5 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +39.6% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 20.2 points跑赢指数 20.2 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +24.7% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 44.7 points落后指数 44.7 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
46
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-3.3% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+3.8% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
56th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$32.83
Don't chase above不追高于
$33.74
Stop止损
$33.11
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
17
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-05
Estimates being raised — 8 analysts预期上调 — 8 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | KMT | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 27.61x | 29.89 | 55% |
| P/B市净率 | 1.96x | 3.90 | 85% |
| P/S市销率 | 1.31x | 2.21 | 72% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 3.62% | 3.10 | 59% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 4.64% | 3.81 | 63% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 4.74% | 2.29 | 77% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 8.74x | 16.39 | 87% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 21.54x | 25.50 | 59% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 0.9%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
7.1%Return on Equity股本回报率
3.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.46 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 2.46 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $60.1M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $22.1M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -1.5% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/7
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.2)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 72% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 72% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.26×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.3× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.3 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/7
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Industrial Distribution & Capital Goods theme — #20 of 46 themes「工业分销与资本品」主题 — 46 个主题中第 20 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
KMT daily MACD crossed upKMT 日线MACD上穿
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$3.2M net (0 buyers, 4 sellers)-$3.2M 净值（0 买家，4 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 15, 2026
KMT daily MACD crossed upKMT 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $34.76.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$34.76。
Jul 14, 2026
KMT StochRSI turned up from oversoldKMT StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $34.32.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$34.32。
Jul 7, 2026
KMT broke down vs the marketKMT 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $33.35.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$33.35。
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A LOW → TOPPING接近低点 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jul 1, 2026
KMT broke down vs the marketKMT 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $33.62.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$33.62。
Jul 1, 2026
KMT daily MACD crossed downKMT 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $33.62.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$33.62。
Jun 29, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 29, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近高点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 25, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 23, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 244 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.11
Value价值
+0.1
Profitability盈利能力
-0.5
Quality质量
-0.1
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.2
Low volatility低波动
-0.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.6
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.0
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.1
Company Profile公司档案
Kennametal, Inc. is a manufacturer of high-performance cutting tools and engineered components used in the aerospace, defense, transportation and oil and gas drilling industries.Kennametal,Inc.是一家生产高性能切削工具和工程部件的制造商，产品应用于航空航天、国防、交通运输以及油气钻探行业。
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。