Sunrun · Industrials
RUN
$11.85
Sunrun Inc. is an American provider of photovoltaic systems and battery energy storage products headquartered in San Francisco, California.SunrunInc.是一家总部位于加利福尼亚州旧金山的美国光伏系统和电池储能产品供应商。
Distressed困境股
Mid cap中盘
$3B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Strong name · wrong tape — wait for a base强势个股 · 趋势不利 — 等待筑底
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$11.85
44.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 44.7%
Market Cap市值
$3B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
6.2x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
2.54
Moves about 2.5x the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.5 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
40
Depressed偏低
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-05 (17d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
43th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
27.9% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | RUN | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -5.0% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 3.5 points落后指数 3.5 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -4.7% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 5.3 points落后指数 5.3 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -4.4% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 9.1 points落后指数 9.1 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -35.0% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 42.8 points落后指数 42.8 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -39.0% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 48.1 points落后指数 48.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +19.0% | +19.4% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -46.5% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 115.9 points落后指数 115.9 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
40
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-12.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-27.0% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
43th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$11.85
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期
Earnings财务业绩
17
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-05
Estimates being raised — 2 analysts预期上调 — 2 位分析师
Post-earnings drift: +4.2% (20d)财报后漂移：+4.2%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | RUN | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 6.15x | 29.89 | 99% |
| P/B市净率 | 0.88x | 3.90 | 99% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.94x | 2.21 | 78% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 16.25% | 3.10 | 99% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 26.2%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
14.4%Return on Equity股本回报率
2.0%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.66 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $108.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +3.5% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (0.0)
Warning警示
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 92% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 92% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
2.54×
0.21×3×
Moves about 2.5× the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.5 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +13.1%空头仓位变动 +13.1%
Technical技术面
RUN broke down vs the marketRUN 相对市场走弱
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$16.0M net (1 buyers, 7 sellers)-$16.0M 净值（1 买家，7 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soros Fund Management | B | trimtrim | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
DECLINE
DOWNTREND
Jul 16, 2026
RUN broke down vs the marketRUN 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $12.14.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$12.14。
Jul 13, 2026
RUN StochRSI turned up from oversoldRUN StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $12.41.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$12.41。
Jul 7, 2026
RUN broke down vs the marketRUN 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $12.20.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$12.20。
Jul 3, 2026
RUN weekly MACD crossed downRUN 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 2, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 2, 2026
RUN daily MACD crossed downRUN 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $12.74.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$12.74。
Jul 1, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 30, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 237 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.76
Value价值
+1.6
Quality质量
-1.3
Investment资本投入
-0.3
Low volatility低波动
-3.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-2.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
-1.5
Short interest空头兴趣
-2.3
Company Profile公司档案
Sunrun Inc. is an American provider of photovoltaic systems and battery energy storage products headquartered in San Francisco, California.SunrunInc.是一家总部位于加利福尼亚州旧金山的美国光伏系统和电池储能产品供应商。
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。