IPAR Inter Parfums, Inc. · $123.23 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

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Inter Parfums, Inc. · Staples

IPAR

$123.23
Secular growth长期成长 Mid cap中盘 $4B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (overbought (daily RSI 72, 3-day 73 & 已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（已超买（日线 RSI 72、3 日 73 与周线 71））。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$123.23
4.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 4.7%
Market Cap市值
$4B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
23.5x
24.1x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.45
Moves about 0.5x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
72
Overbought超买区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
79th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.5% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 IPAR S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +3.3% -1.5% Beat the index by 4.8 points跑赢指数 4.8 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +27.6% +0.6% Beat the index by 27.0 points跑赢指数 27.0 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +24.7% +4.7% Beat the index by 20.0 points跑赢指数 20.0 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +38.2% +7.8% Beat the index by 30.4 points跑赢指数 30.4 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +45.5% +9.1% Beat the index by 36.4 points跑赢指数 36.4 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -3.1% +19.4% Lagged the index by 22.5 points落后指数 22.5 个百分点
3 Years近3年 -2.8% +69.4% Lagged the index by 72.2 points落后指数 72.2 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 72 Overbought超买区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +22.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +32.2% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 79th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$116.65
Don't chase above不追高于
$123.20
Stop止损
$96.59
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 IPAR Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 23.47x 24.10
50%
P/B市净率 4.49x 3.38
37%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 4.26% 3.76
57%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 4.82% 4.71
54%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 2.60% 2.48
52%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 13.96x 12.39
40%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 20.75x 21.12
51%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$539.0M
2020
$879.5M
2021
$1.1B
2022
$1.3B
2023
$1.5B
2024
$1.5B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 22.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$1.21
2020
$2.75
2021
$3.78
2022
$4.75
2023
$5.12
2024
$5.24
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 34.1%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$54.0M
2020
-$21.7M
2021
$81.4M
2022
$99.3M
2023
$182.9M
2024
$190.5M
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
18.2%
19.1%Return on Equity股本回报率
10.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA0.60
Current ratio流动比率2.99
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$77.0K
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$1.6M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-0.1%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (6.1) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 45% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 45% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.45×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.5× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +10.7%空头仓位变动 +10.7%
Technical技术面 IPAR StochRSI turned up from oversoldIPAR StochRSI自超卖区上行

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$2.1M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$2.1M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~20 day(s) ago @ 96.59) and overbought (daily RSI 72, 3-day 73 & weekly 71). A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发（摆动低点出现、动量转向上行），但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点（约 20 天前形成 @ 96.59）且已超买（日线 RSI 72、3 日 73 与周线 71）。动量交叉属于滞后确认：在垂直拉升之后，只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发，因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高，而非新的买入
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 17, 2026
IPAR StochRSI turned up from oversoldIPAR StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $123.23.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$123.23。
Jul 16, 2026
IPAR RSI reached overboughtIPAR RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $122.72.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$122.72。
Jun 26, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 26, 2026
IPAR took relative-strength leadershipIPAR 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $107.97.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$107.97。
Jun 26, 2026
IPAR RSI reached overboughtIPAR RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $107.97.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$107.97。
Jun 23, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 22, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 16, 2026
Golden cross on IPARIPAR 金叉
The 50-day average crossed above the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bullish trend signal. $100.17.50日均线上穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看多趋势信号。$100.17。
Jun 9, 2026
IPAR reclaimed its 200-day averageIPAR 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $96.10.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$96.10。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 226 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.28
Value价值
-0.4
Profitability盈利能力
+1.6
Quality质量
+0.6
Investment资本投入
-0.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.4
Low volatility低波动
+0.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.5
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.2

Company Profile公司档案

Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Receivables stretch
  • Capital intensity rising
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