ELF e.l.f. Beauty · $73.69 Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势 Terminal终端 ↗

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e.l.f. Beauty · Staples

ELF

$73.69
e.l.f. Beauty, Inc.e.l.f.Beauty,Inc.（e.l.f.Beauty公司）
Rate-sensitive利率敏感 Mid cap中盘 $4B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and oscillators are already extended/ove筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且摆动指标已过热——此处入场风险较高。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗ All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$73.69
49.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 49.8%
Market Cap市值
$4B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
165.3x
24.1x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.83
Moves about 1.8x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.8 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
58
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-05 (17d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
18th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
20.3% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 ELF S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -4.0% -1.5% Lagged the index by 2.5 points落后指数 2.5 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +18.3% +0.6% Beat the index by 17.7 points跑赢指数 17.7 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +10.3% +4.7% Beat the index by 5.6 points跑赢指数 5.6 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -18.1% +7.8% Lagged the index by 25.9 points落后指数 25.9 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -5.3% +9.1% Lagged the index by 14.4 points落后指数 14.4 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -33.6% +19.4% Lagged the index by 53.0 points落后指数 53.0 个百分点
3 Years近3年 -38.3% +69.4% Lagged the index by 107.7 points落后指数 107.7 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 58 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +18.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -8.2% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 18th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$71.61
Don't chase above不追高于
$73.69
Stop止损
$60.68
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

17
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-05

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 ELF Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 165.35x 24.10
0%
P/B市净率 3.75x 3.38
46%
P/S市销率 2.66x 1.28
22%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 0.60% 3.76
12%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 2.65% 4.71
22%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 1.15% 2.48
37%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 20.79x 12.39
13%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 37.73x 21.12
18%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$318.1M
2021
$392.2M
2022
$578.8M
2023
$1.0B
2024
$1.3B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 42.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$0.12
2021
$0.41
2022
$1.11
2023
$2.21
2024
$1.92
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 100.0%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$23.0M
2021
$14.7M
2022
$100.2M
2023
$62.5M
2024
$115.3M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
70.7%
Operating margin营业利润率
12.0%
Net margin净利率
1.6%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
13.0%
2.3%Return on Equity股本回报率
1.1%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.74
Current ratio流动比率3.05
Capital Allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$71.8M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+4.7%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (7.0) Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 21% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 21% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.83×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.8× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.8 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 ELF daily MACD crossed downELF 日线MACD下穿

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$15.4M net (1 buyers, 3 sellers)-$15.4M 净值（1 买家，3 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. Buyers rejected the 2026-06-11 low (swing low printed) but price hasn't reclaimed its 10-day average — first box ticked, not all. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell买入预备。买方拒绝了 2026-06-11 的低点（摆动低点已现），但价格尚未收复 10 日均线——第一项条件达成，并非全部。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
TURN SIGNALED BOTTOMING
Jul 15, 2026
ELF daily MACD crossed downELF 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $74.22.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$74.22。
Jul 8, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 30, 2026
ELF RSI reached overboughtELF RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $74.00.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$74.00。
Jun 25, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → UPTREND未确认转向 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 22, 2026
UPTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN上涨趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 214 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.74
Value价值
-0.6
Profitability盈利能力
+1.0
Quality质量
+0.7
Investment资本投入
-3.0
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.7
Low volatility低波动
-1.9
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.9
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.1

Company Profile公司档案

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc.e.l.f.Beauty,Inc.（e.l.f.Beauty公司）
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Capital intensity rising
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