Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum is rolling筑底形态尚未确认(价格仍位于 10 日均线下方),且3 日/周线动量已开始掉头向下——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$177.97
13.1% below 52-week high低于52周高点 13.1%
Market Cap市值
$2B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
7.2x
15.0x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.19
Moves about 0.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.2 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
57
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-06 (18d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
51th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.3% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | HCI | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -2.5% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +8.2% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 7.6 points跑赢指数 7.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +13.2% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 8.5 points跑赢指数 8.5 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +1.7% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 6.1 points落后指数 6.1 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -2.7% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 11.8 points落后指数 11.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +24.8% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 5.4 points跑赢指数 5.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +220.7% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 151.3 points跑赢指数 151.3 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI(14)
57
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+8.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+4.6% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
51th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$177.30
Don't chase above不追高于
$178.00
Stop止损
$160.40
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
18
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-06
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | HCI | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) | 7.22x | 14.99 | 96% |
| P/B市净率 | 2.22x | 1.52 | 32% |
| P/S市销率 | 2.57x | 2.87 | 54% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 13.86% | 6.58 | 97% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.90% | 3.91 | 12% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 23.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 45.5%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
30.8%Return on Equity股本回报率
12.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM) | $1.5M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $11.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年) | +20.7% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/6
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 61% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 61% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.19×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.2 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/6
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面
HCI daily MACD crossed downHCI 日线MACD下穿
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polen Capital Management | B | trimtrim | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 14, 2026
HCI daily MACD crossed downHCI 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $179.94.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$179.94。
Jul 13, 2026
HCI took relative-strength leadershipHCI 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $182.95.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$182.95。
Jul 8, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 2, 2026
HCI RSI reached overboughtHCI RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $182.64.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$182.64。
Jun 30, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jun 26, 2026
HCI took relative-strength leadershipHCI 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $180.46.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$180.46。
Jun 26, 2026
HCI RSI reached overboughtHCI RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $180.46.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$180.46。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.03
Value价值
+0.6
Quality质量
+0.2
Investment资本投入
-0.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.8
Low volatility低波动
+0.4
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.9
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.0
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