GXO Logistics · Industrials
GXO
$54.05
GXO Logistics, Inc. is an American multinational contract logistics company that manages outsourced supply chains and warehousing, and reverse logistics in over thirty countries.GXO物流公司是一家美国跨国合同物流企业,管理着三十多个国家的外包供应链、仓储及逆向物流业务。
Distressed困境股
Mid cap中盘
$6B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
Confirmed cycle low — the entry window is open now, with a clear exit if it closes back below 48.08.周期低点已确认——入场窗口现已开启,若收盘重新跌破 48.08 则明确离场。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$54.05
17.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 17.6%
Market Cap市值
$6B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
171.9x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.55
Moves about 1.6x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.6 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
60
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
71th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
7.2% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | GXO | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +6.8% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 8.3 points跑赢指数 8.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +12.4% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 11.8 points跑赢指数 11.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -8.1% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 12.8 points落后指数 12.8 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -4.4% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 12.2 points落后指数 12.2 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -0.5% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 9.6 points落后指数 9.6 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +5.2% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 14.2 points落后指数 14.2 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -18.4% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 87.8 points落后指数 87.8 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI(14)
60
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+8.3% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+0.7% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
71th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$53.15
Don't chase above不追高于
$54.77
Stop止损
$48.08
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04
Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | GXO | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) | 171.93x | 29.89 | 2% |
| P/B市净率 | 2.07x | 3.90 | 80% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.47x | 2.21 | 94% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 0.58% | 3.10 | 12% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 1.78% | 3.81 | 18% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 3.23% | 2.29 | 60% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 7.60x | 16.39 | 91% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 56.27x | 25.50 | 12% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 13.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -32.1%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
1.2%Return on Equity股本回报率
0.3%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -1.22 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.85 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM) | $200.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $47.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年) | -4.2% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/7
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.6)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 57% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 57% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.55×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.6× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.6 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/7
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场/成长beta体现,并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +28.1%空头仓位变动 +28.1%
Technical技术面
GXO weekly MACD crossed upGXO 周线MACD上穿
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: +$0.3M net (1 buyers, 0 sellers)+$0.3M 净值(1 买家,0 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Engaged Capital | B | Holding持有 | 14.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
FRESH BUY
BUY ZONE
Jul 17, 2026
GXO weekly MACD crossed upGXO 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 16, 2026
GXO reclaimed its 200-day averageGXO 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $54.55.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$54.55。
Jul 15, 2026
GXO daily MACD crossed upGXO 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $52.29.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$52.29。
Jul 15, 2026
GXO StochRSI turned up from oversoldGXO StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $52.29.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$52.29。
Jul 14, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 13, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 13, 2026
GXO daily MACD crossed downGXO 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $48.99.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$48.99。
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 6, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.02
Value价值
+0.5
Quality质量
-0.3
Investment资本投入
-0.0
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.2
Low volatility低波动
-0.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.9
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.7
Company Profile公司档案
GXO Logistics, Inc. is an American multinational contract logistics company that manages outsourced supply chains and warehousing, and reverse logistics in over thirty countries.GXO物流公司是一家美国跨国合同物流企业,管理着三十多个国家的外包供应链、仓储及逆向物流业务。
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