GATX · Industrials
GATX
$178.48
GATX Corporation is a railcar lessor that owns fleets in North America, Europe, and Asia. In addition, jointly with Rolls-Royce Limited, it owns one of the largest aircraft spare engine lease portfolios.GATXCorporation是一家铁路车辆租赁公司，在北美、欧洲和亚洲拥有车队，并与劳斯莱斯有限公司共同拥有全球最大的飞机备用发动机租赁组合之一。
Cyclical周期股
Mid cap中盘
$6B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Confirmed cycle low — the entry window is open now, with a clear exit if it closes back below 171.73.周期低点已确认——入场窗口现已开启，若收盘重新跌破 171.73 则明确离场。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$178.48
11.1% below 52-week high低于52周高点 11.1%
Market Cap市值
$6B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
19.0x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.66
Moves about 0.7x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
52
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
81th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.8% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | GATX | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -0.9% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +3.0% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 2.4 points跑赢指数 2.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -10.1% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 14.8 points落后指数 14.8 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -0.2% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 8.0 points落后指数 8.0 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +4.9% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 4.2 points落后指数 4.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +15.7% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 3.7 points落后指数 3.7 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +42.1% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 27.3 points落后指数 27.3 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
52
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+1.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+2.0% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
81th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$176.45
Don't chase above不追高于
$180.10
Stop止损
$171.70
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | GATX | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 18.96x | 29.89 | 78% |
| P/B市净率 | 2.30x | 3.90 | 76% |
| P/S市销率 | 3.63x | 2.21 | 29% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 5.28% | 3.10 | 80% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.03% | 2.29 | 23% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 4.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 9.4%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
12.1%Return on Equity股本回报率
1.9%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $65.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $25.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -0.5% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 3/7
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 61% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 61% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.66×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.7× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
Financial Health财务健康
3/7
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +11.4%空头仓位变动 +11.4%
Technical技术面
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$2.2M net (0 buyers, 4 sellers)-$2.2M 净值（0 买家，4 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
FRESH BUY
BUY ZONE
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 10, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 10, 2026
GATX daily MACD crossed upGATX 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $180.14.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$180.14。
Jul 9, 2026
GATX reclaimed its 200-day averageGATX 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $174.95.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$174.95。
Jul 7, 2026
GATX lost its 200-day averageGATX 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $174.17.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$174.17。
Jul 7, 2026
GATX daily MACD crossed downGATX 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $174.17.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$174.17。
Jul 6, 2026
GATX reclaimed its 200-day averageGATX 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $177.81.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$177.81。
Jul 1, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 1, 2026
GATX lost its 200-day averageGATX 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $171.73.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$171.73。
Jul 1, 2026
GATX printed a daily-cycle lowGATX 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $171.73.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$171.73。
Jun 29, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.51
Value价值
-0.1
Quality质量
-0.4
Investment资本投入
-2.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.8
Low volatility低波动
+1.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.5
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.1
Company Profile公司档案
GATX Corporation is a railcar lessor that owns fleets in North America, Europe, and Asia. In addition, jointly with Rolls-Royce Limited, it owns one of the largest aircraft spare engine lease portfolios.GATXCorporation是一家铁路车辆租赁公司，在北美、欧洲和亚洲拥有车队，并与劳斯莱斯有限公司共同拥有全球最大的飞机备用发动机租赁组合之一。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。