Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 43.91.日线低点正在形成,但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位;止损设于 43.91 下方。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$45.05
15.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 15.9%
Market Cap市值
$7B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
209.8x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
2.05
Moves about 2.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
44
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
47th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.4% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | ST | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -0.6% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -8.9% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 9.5 points落后指数 9.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +11.1% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 6.4 points跑赢指数 6.4 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +29.3% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 21.5 points跑赢指数 21.5 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +29.9% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 20.8 points跑赢指数 20.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +44.9% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 25.5 points跑赢指数 25.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -0.3% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 69.7 points落后指数 69.7 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI(14)
44
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-5.9% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+19.3% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
47th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$44.76
Don't chase above不追高于
$45.05
Stop止损
$43.91
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认,先观望
Earnings财务业绩
16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04
Estimates being raised — 2 analysts预期上调 — 2 位分析师
Post-earnings drift: +22.8% (20d)财报后漂移:+22.8%(20日)
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | ST | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) | 209.85x | 29.89 | 1% |
| P/B市净率 | 2.36x | 3.90 | 75% |
| P/S市销率 | 1.77x | 2.21 | 61% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 0.48% | 3.10 | 11% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 7.46% | 3.81 | 85% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.84% | 2.29 | 42% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 17.87x | 16.39 | 42% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 13.40x | 25.50 | 83% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 4.0%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -27.4%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
1.1%Return on Equity股本回报率
0.5%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 4.57 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 2.57 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM) | $120.6M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $25.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年) | -2.5% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.4)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 53% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 53% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
2.05×
0.21×3×
Moves about 2.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场/成长beta体现,并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
ST StochRSI turned up from oversoldST StochRSI自超卖区上行
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$7.6M net (1 buyers, 3 sellers)-$7.6M 净值(1 买家,3 卖家)
Signal History信号历史
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE
UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 13, 2026
ST StochRSI turned up from oversoldST StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $44.40.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$44.40。
Jul 10, 2026
ST weekly MACD crossed downST 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 30, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A LOW下跌趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 26, 2026
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 25, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 23, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.06
Value价值
-0.2
Quality质量
-0.2
Investment资本投入
+0.8
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.6
Low volatility低波动
-0.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.6
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.6
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.0
Company Profile公司档案
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析,覆盖所有标普500成分股。