FCX Freeport-McMoRan · $58.38 Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势 Terminal终端
Freeport-McMoRan · Materials

FCX

$58.38
Freeport-McMoRan Inc., often called Freeport, is an American mining company based in the Freeport-McMoRan Center, in Phoenix, Arizona. The company is the world's largest producer of molybdenum, a major copper producer and operates the world's largest gold mine, the Grasberg...自由港麦克莫兰公司(Freeport-McMoRanInc.)常称为自由港(Freeport),是一家总部位于亚利桑那州凤凰城自由港麦克莫兰中心的美国矿业公司。该公司是全球最大的钼生产商、主要铜生产商,并运营着世界最大金矿——印度尼西亚巴布亚的格拉斯伯格矿。
Cyclical周期股 Large cap大盘 $84B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 57.36.日线低点正在形成,但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位;止损设于 57.36 下方。
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Price Chart价格图表

FREEPORT-MCMORAN 50.00 55.00 60.00 65.00 70.00 58.38 2026-03-10 2026-04-06 2026-04-30 2026-05-26 2026-06-22 2026-07-17 50 SMA VOLUME 38.8MVOL MACD -1.422 MASTERMIND FCXDAILY mastermind-x.comResearch dossier · regenerated nightly© 2026 Mastermind
Full chart in Terminal终端完整图表

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$58.38
18.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 18.6%
Market Cap市值
$84B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
38.1x
28.6x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
14.5x
EPS每股收益 $1.53
Beta贝塔
2.17
Moves about 2.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.2 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
1.03%
RSI (14)RSI(14)
41
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-22 (3d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
48th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.1% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 FCX S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -4.9% -1.5% Lagged the index by 3.4 points落后指数 3.4 个百分点
1 Month近1月 -15.3% +0.6% Lagged the index by 15.9 points落后指数 15.9 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -16.8% +4.7% Lagged the index by 21.5 points落后指数 21.5 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -0.3% +7.8% Lagged the index by 8.1 points落后指数 8.1 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +12.9% +9.1% Beat the index by 3.8 points跑赢指数 3.8 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +32.4% +19.4% Beat the index by 13.0 points跑赢指数 13.0 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +49.8% +69.4% Lagged the index by 19.6 points落后指数 19.6 个百分点
5 Years近5年 +88.0% +83.9% Beat the index by 4.1 points跑赢指数 4.1 个百分点

Technicals技术面

Active signals活跃信号
RSI-21 Oversold Entry1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)
RSI (14)RSI(14) 41 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -8.3% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +4.5% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度(ADX) 22 Trending趋势中
Volatility rank波动率分位 48th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$56.38
Don't chase above不追高于
$58.38
Stop止损
$57.36
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认,先观望

Earnings财务业绩

3
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-22

Estimates roughly stable预期基本稳定

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 FCX Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 38.07x 28.57
19%
P/E (forward)市盈率(预测) 14.5x
P/B市净率 4.44x 2.82
16%
P/S市销率 3.24x 1.64
21%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 2.63% 2.96
41%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 1.33% 3.23
26%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 1.16% 2.70
25%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 10.21x 12.20
65%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 75.18x 25.03
10%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$14.4B
2019
$14.2B
2020
$22.8B
2021
$22.8B
2022
$25.5B
2023
$25.9B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 12.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$-0.17
2019
$0.41
2020
$2.90
2021
2022
2023
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
-$1.2B
2019
$1.1B
2020
$5.6B
2021
$1.7B
2022
$2.4B
2023
$1.1B
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
25.2%
Net margin净利率
8.5%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
21.6%
11.7%Return on Equity股本回报率
3.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA0.63
Current ratio流动比率2.29
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$107.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$121.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)+0.0%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.9) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 29% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 29% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
2.17×
0.2
Moves about 2.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.2 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
1.03%
Pays a dividend (1.03% yield)有分红(收益率 1.03%)

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Materials (Equal-Weight) theme — #26 of 46 themes「材料(等权)」主题 — 46 个主题中第 26 位
Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 FCX broke down vs the marketFCX 相对市场走弱

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛,价格波动可能被放大

Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.38%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±7.55%
Call wall看涨密集区
$63
Put wall看跌密集区
$55
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$63
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-1.1%
Skew: 偏斜:balanced

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$37.7M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$37.7M 净值(0 买家,5 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Oaktree Capital Management B trimtrim 1.5% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum negative). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态(摆动低点已现、动量转向上行)——但更高周期尚未确认:大局仍偏空(周线动量为负)。这是「未确认转向」,并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格,因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹,也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种,故应将其视为风险/仓位信号,而非方向判断。实测:周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点,周线转向后升至约 68%
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 16, 2026
FCX broke down vs the marketFCX 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $58.56.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$58.56。
Jul 13, 2026
FCX broke down vs the marketFCX 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $59.82.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$59.82。
Jul 10, 2026
FCX StochRSI turned up from oversoldFCX StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $61.37.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$61.37。
Jul 6, 2026
FCX broke down vs the marketFCX 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $60.85.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$60.85。
Jul 1, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 1, 2026
FCX broke down vs the marketFCX 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $60.38.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$60.38。
Jun 30, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 29, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.26
Value价值
-0.6
Quality质量
+0.5
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.7
Low volatility低波动
-0.7
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.8
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.1

Company Profile公司档案

Freeport-McMoRan Inc., often called Freeport, is an American mining company based in the Freeport-McMoRan Center, in Phoenix, Arizona. The company is the world's largest producer of molybdenum, a major copper producer and operates the world's largest gold mine, the Grasberg...自由港麦克莫兰公司(Freeport-McMoRanInc.)常称为自由港(Freeport),是一家总部位于亚利桑那州凤凰城自由港麦克莫兰中心的美国矿业公司。该公司是全球最大的钼生产商、主要铜生产商,并运营着世界最大金矿——印度尼西亚巴布亚的格拉斯伯格矿。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Margin compression despite revenue growth
  • Capital intensity rising
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