Freeport-McMoRan · Materials
FCX
$58.38
Freeport-McMoRan Inc., often called Freeport, is an American mining company based in the Freeport-McMoRan Center, in Phoenix, Arizona. The company is the world's largest producer of molybdenum, a major copper producer and operates the world's largest gold mine, the Grasberg...自由港麦克莫兰公司(Freeport-McMoRanInc.)常称为自由港(Freeport),是一家总部位于亚利桑那州凤凰城自由港麦克莫兰中心的美国矿业公司。该公司是全球最大的钼生产商、主要铜生产商,并运营着世界最大金矿——印度尼西亚巴布亚的格拉斯伯格矿。
Cyclical周期股
Large cap大盘
$84B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 57.36.日线低点正在形成,但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位;止损设于 57.36 下方。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$58.38
18.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 18.6%
Market Cap市值
$84B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
38.1x
28.6x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
14.5x
EPS每股收益 $1.53
Beta贝塔
2.17
Moves about 2.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.2 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
1.03%
RSI (14)RSI(14)
41
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-22 (3d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
48th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.1% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | FCX | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -4.9% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 3.4 points落后指数 3.4 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -15.3% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 15.9 points落后指数 15.9 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -16.8% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 21.5 points落后指数 21.5 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -0.3% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 8.1 points落后指数 8.1 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +12.9% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 3.8 points跑赢指数 3.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +32.4% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 13.0 points跑赢指数 13.0 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +49.8% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 19.6 points落后指数 19.6 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +88.0% | +83.9% | Beat the index by 4.1 points跑赢指数 4.1 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
RSI-21 Oversold Entry1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)
RSI (14)RSI(14)
41
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-8.3% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+4.5% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度(ADX)
22
Trending趋势中
Volatility rank波动率分位
48th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$56.38
Don't chase above不追高于
$58.38
Stop止损
$57.36
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认,先观望
Earnings财务业绩
3
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-22
Estimates roughly stable预期基本稳定
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | FCX | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) | 38.07x | 28.57 | 19% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率(预测) | 14.5x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 4.44x | 2.82 | 16% |
| P/S市销率 | 3.24x | 1.64 | 21% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.63% | 2.96 | 41% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 1.33% | 3.23 | 26% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.16% | 2.70 | 25% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 10.21x | 12.20 | 65% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 75.18x | 25.03 | 10% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 12.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
11.7%Return on Equity股本回报率
3.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 0.63 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 2.29 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM) | $107.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $121.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年) | +0.0% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.9)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 29% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 29% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
2.17×
0.21×3×
Moves about 2.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.2 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
1.03%
Pays a dividend (1.03% yield)有分红(收益率 1.03%)
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Materials (Equal-Weight) theme — #26 of 46 themes「材料(等权)」主题 — 46 个主题中第 26 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
FCX broke down vs the marketFCX 相对市场走弱
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛,价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.38%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±7.55%
Call wall看涨密集区
$63
Put wall看跌密集区
$55
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$63
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-1.1%
Skew: 偏斜:balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$37.7M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$37.7M 净值(0 买家,5 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oaktree Capital Management | B | trimtrim | 1.5% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE
UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 16, 2026
FCX broke down vs the marketFCX 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $58.56.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$58.56。
Jul 13, 2026
FCX broke down vs the marketFCX 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $59.82.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$59.82。
Jul 10, 2026
FCX StochRSI turned up from oversoldFCX StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $61.37.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$61.37。
Jul 6, 2026
FCX broke down vs the marketFCX 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $60.85.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$60.85。
Jul 1, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 1, 2026
FCX broke down vs the marketFCX 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $60.38.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$60.38。
Jun 30, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 29, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.26
Value价值
-0.6
Quality质量
+0.5
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.7
Low volatility低波动
-0.7
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.8
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.1
Company Profile公司档案
Freeport-McMoRan Inc., often called Freeport, is an American mining company based in the Freeport-McMoRan Center, in Phoenix, Arizona. The company is the world's largest producer of molybdenum, a major copper producer and operates the world's largest gold mine, the Grasberg...自由港麦克莫兰公司(Freeport-McMoRanInc.)常称为自由港(Freeport),是一家总部位于亚利桑那州凤凰城自由港麦克莫兰中心的美国矿业公司。该公司是全球最大的钼生产商、主要铜生产商,并运营着世界最大金矿——印度尼西亚巴布亚的格拉斯伯格矿。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析,覆盖所有标普500成分股。