Ecolab · Materials
ECL
$272.83
Ecolab Inc., headquartered in Saint Paul, Minnesota, provides products related to water treatment, sanitation, and hygiene, primarily to commercial and industrial customers.艺康公司总部位于明尼苏达州圣保罗，主要向商业和工业客户提供水处理、卫生清洁及消毒相关产品。
Cyclical周期股
Large cap大盘
$77B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Setup almost complete — likely buy trigger in ~1–3 trading days if it closes back above its 10-day average.形态接近完成——若收盘重新站上 10 日均线，预计将在约 1–3 个交易日内出现买入触发。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$272.83
11.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 11.0%
Market Cap市值
$77B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
37.1x
28.6x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
29.2x
EPS每股收益 $7.36
Beta贝塔
0.55
Moves about 0.6x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
1.07%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
51
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
59th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
1.3% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | ECL | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -0.5% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +1.4% | +0.6% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -0.4% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 5.1 points落后指数 5.1 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -1.0% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 8.8 points落后指数 8.8 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +4.4% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 4.7 points落后指数 4.7 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +2.5% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 16.9 points落后指数 16.9 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +49.2% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 20.2 points落后指数 20.2 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +34.0% | +83.9% | Lagged the index by 49.9 points落后指数 49.9 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
MA Sell (21)1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)
RSI (14)RSI（14）
51
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+3.4% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+1.2% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
17
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位
59th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$270.90
Don't chase above不追高于
$274.40
Stop止损
$262.90
Buy soon — on confirmation即将买入 — 待确认
Earnings财务业绩
16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | ECL | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 37.07x | 28.57 | 21% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 29.2x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 7.87x | 2.82 | 4% |
| P/S市销率 | 4.78x | 1.64 | 11% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.70% | 2.96 | 42% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.48% | 3.23 | 39% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 2.00% | 2.70 | 38% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 22.63x | 12.20 | 10% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 40.40x | 25.03 | 26% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 6.4%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
21.2%Return on Equity股本回报率
8.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 0.07 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.08 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $783.8M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $136.6M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -0.5% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (4.9)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 17% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 17% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.55×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.6× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
1.07%
Pays a dividend (1.07% yield)有分红（收益率 1.07%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Materials (Equal-Weight) theme — #26 of 46 themes「材料（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 26 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
ECL daily MACD crossed downECL 日线MACD下穿
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.71%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±3.81%
Call wall看涨密集区
$300
Put wall看跌密集区
$270
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-1.8%
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$16.8M net (1 buyers, 7 sellers)-$16.8M 净值（1 买家，7 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gates Foundation Trust | D | Holding持有 | 4.4% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 9, 2026
ECL daily MACD crossed downECL 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $273.03.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$273.03。
Jul 6, 2026
UPTREND → BUY ZONE上涨趋势 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 1, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 30, 2026
UPTREND → BUY ZONE上涨趋势 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jun 26, 2026
ECL weekly MACD crossed upECL 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jun 24, 2026
ECL reclaimed its 200-day averageECL 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $276.29.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$276.29。
Jun 23, 2026
ECL lost its 200-day averageECL 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $268.66.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$268.66。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.07
Value价值
-0.8
Quality质量
-0.1
Investment资本投入
-0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.5
Low volatility低波动
+1.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.2
Company Profile公司档案
Ecolab Inc., headquartered in Saint Paul, Minnesota, provides products related to water treatment, sanitation, and hygiene, primarily to commercial and industrial customers.艺康公司总部位于明尼苏达州圣保罗，主要向商业和工业客户提供水处理、卫生清洁及消毒相关产品。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Receivables stretch
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。