CTVA Corteva · $87.30 Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势 Terminal终端
Corteva · Materials

CTVA

$87.30
Corteva, Inc. is an American company devoted to products for seeds and crop protection, including herbicides, insecticides, fungicides, and biologicals that are sold in 110 countries.Corteva,Inc.是一家美国公司,专注于种子和作物保护产品,包括除草剂、杀虫剂、杀菌剂和生物制剂,产品销售至110个国家。
Cyclical周期股 Large cap大盘 $59B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The daily turn is already in — a low formed ~24 day(s) ago @ 74.86 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's mi日线转向已经完成——低点于约 24 天前形成 @ 74.86,且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认,因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场,而非待触发信号:可在此建半仓,或等待周线转向。
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Price Chart价格图表

CORTEVA 75.00 77.50 80.00 82.50 85.00 87.50 87.30 2026-03-10 2026-04-06 2026-04-30 2026-05-26 2026-06-22 2026-07-17 50 SMA VOLUME 13.4MVOL MACD 1.874 MASTERMIND CTVADAILY mastermind-x.comResearch dossier · regenerated nightly© 2026 Mastermind
Full chart in Terminal终端完整图表

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$87.30
0.0% below 52-week high0.0% below 52-week high
Market Cap市值
$59B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
53.6x
28.6x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
21.2x
EPS每股收益 $1.63
Beta贝塔
0.22
Moves about 0.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.2 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
0.82%
RSI (14)RSI(14)
66
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
51th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.8% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 CTVA S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +1.9% -1.5% Beat the index by 3.4 points跑赢指数 3.4 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +12.8% +0.6% Beat the index by 12.2 points跑赢指数 12.2 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +8.9% +4.7% Beat the index by 4.2 points跑赢指数 4.2 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +25.9% +7.8% Beat the index by 18.1 points跑赢指数 18.1 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +29.4% +9.1% Beat the index by 20.3 points跑赢指数 20.3 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +20.5% +19.4% Beat the index by 1.1 points跑赢指数 1.1 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +63.7% +69.4% Lagged the index by 5.7 points落后指数 5.7 个百分点
5 Years近5年 +120.4% +83.9% Beat the index by 36.5 points跑赢指数 36.5 个百分点

Technicals技术面

Active signals活跃信号
1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralIchimoku — Price Above CloudTrend Ribbon — Uptrend State
RSI (14)RSI(14) 66 Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +8.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +18.3% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度(ADX) 30 Strong trend趋势强劲
Volatility rank波动率分位 51th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$86.41
Don't chase above不追高于
$88.01
Stop止损
$74.86
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认

Earnings财务业绩

11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30

Estimates being cut预期下调

Post-earnings drift: -7.2% (20d)财报后漂移:-7.2%(20日)

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 CTVA Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 53.64x 28.57
10%
P/E (forward)市盈率(预测) 21.2x
P/B市净率 2.43x 2.82
55%
P/S市销率 3.37x 1.64
20%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 1.86% 2.96
33%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 4.80% 3.23
67%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 1.83% 2.70
33%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 20.85x 25.03
59%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$14.2B
2020
$15.7B
2021
$17.5B
2022
$17.2B
2023
$16.9B
2024
$17.4B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 4.1%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$0.91
2020
$2.37
2021
$1.58
2022
$1.03
2023
$1.30
2024
$1.60
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 11.9%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$901.0M
2020
$1.6B
2021
$267.0M
2022
$1.2B
2023
$1.5B
2024
$2.8B
2025
Margins利润率
Net margin净利率
6.3%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
19.6%
4.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
2.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Current ratio流动比率1.43
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$1.1B
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)-2.0%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.4) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 38% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 38% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.22×
0.2
Moves about 0.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.2 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/8
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
0.82%
Pays a dividend (0.82% yield)有分红(收益率 0.82%)

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Materials (Equal-Weight) theme — #26 of 46 themes「材料(等权)」主题 — 46 个主题中第 26 位
Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 CTVA made a new 52-week highCTVA 创52周新高

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.95%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.37%
Call wall看涨密集区
$90
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$74
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-6.5%
Skew: 偏斜:fear

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.6M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.6M 净值(0 买家,1 卖家)

Signal History信号历史

UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. A new cycle low likely formed 24 day(s) ago (2026-06-11 @ 74.86): swing low in, price back above the 10-day average — but the weekly timeframe hasn't turned yet, so conviction is partial. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell买入预备。新的周期低点可能已在 24 天前形成 (2026-06-11 @ 74.86):摆动低点已现,价格重新站上 10 日均线——但周线周期尚未转向,因此信心仅为部分。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号
TURN SIGNALED BOTTOMING
Jul 17, 2026
CTVA made a new 52-week highCTVA 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $87.30.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$87.30。
Jul 17, 2026
CTVA StochRSI turned up from oversoldCTVA StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $87.30.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$87.30。
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 10, 2026
CTVA weekly MACD crossed upCTVA 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 7, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UPTREND接近高点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 2, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 2, 2026
CTVA made a new 52-week highCTVA 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $85.80.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$85.80。
Jul 2, 2026
CTVA RSI reached overboughtCTVA RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $85.80.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$85.80。
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UPTREND接近高点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.07
Value价值
-0.3
Quality质量
+0.0
Investment资本投入
+0.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.6
Low volatility低波动
+1.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.8
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.5

Company Profile公司档案

Corteva, Inc. is an American company devoted to products for seeds and crop protection, including herbicides, insecticides, fungicides, and biologicals that are sold in 110 countries.Corteva,Inc.是一家美国公司,专注于种子和作物保护产品,包括除草剂、杀虫剂、杀菌剂和生物制剂,产品销售至110个国家。
Demand chain:需求链: Contracted bookings (RPO) accelerating (+8% YoY to ~$0B, 0.0× revenue) — signed demand locked in ahead of recognition已签约订单(RPO)加速(同比+8%,约 $0B,覆盖营收 0.0 倍)——已锁定、尚未确认的需求
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