Fastenal · Industrials
FAST
$45.49
Fastenal Company is an American publicly traded company based in Winona, Minnesota, founded in 1967. Fastenal is a major distributor of industrial and construction supplies, and the largest fastener distributor in North America.FastenalCompany是一家美国公开交易公司，总部位于明尼苏达州威诺纳，成立于1967年。Fastenal是工业和建筑用品的主要分销商，也是北美最大的紧固件分销商。
Quality compounder优质复利股
Large cap大盘
$52B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum has crosse筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且3 日/周线动量已向下交叉——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$45.49
8.3% below 52-week high低于52周高点 8.3%
Market Cap市值
$52B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
41.5x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.55
Moves about 0.5x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
45
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-13 (-6d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
70th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.7% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | FAST | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -2.2% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +1.4% | +0.6% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -0.1% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 4.8 points落后指数 4.8 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +5.1% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 2.7 points落后指数 2.7 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +13.7% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 4.6 points跑赢指数 4.6 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +1.2% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 18.2 points落后指数 18.2 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
45
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-0.3% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+3.4% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
70th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$44.53
Don't chase above不追高于
$45.49
Stop止损
$44.88
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being raised — 4 analysts预期上调 — 4 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | FAST | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 41.50x | 29.89 | 28% |
| P/B市净率 | 13.24x | 3.90 | 12% |
| P/S市销率 | 6.37x | 2.21 | 9% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.41% | 3.10 | 35% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.01% | 3.81 | 22% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 28.38x | 16.39 | 17% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 49.71x | 25.50 | 16% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 7.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -6.1%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
31.9%Return on Equity股本回报率
24.9%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.08 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 4.85 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $0 |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $8.4M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.1% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (32.7)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 18% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 18% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.55×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.5× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
NEARING A LOW → TOPPING接近低点 → 做顶中
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.64%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±3.66%
Call wall看涨密集区
$50
Put wall看跌密集区
$42
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$41
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-2.5%
Flow资金流向
$0M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 3 fresh positions; P/C 1.47; net new PUT positioning (defensive / hedging) (ΔOI +5,720); ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $0M；0DTE占0%；3个新建仓；看跌看涨比 1.47；净新增看跌持仓（防御/对冲）（ΔOI +5,720）；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$2.2M net (4 buyers, 2 sellers)-$2.2M 净值（4 买家，2 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A LOW → TOPPING接近低点 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jul 8, 2026
FAST daily MACD crossed downFAST 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $46.51.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$46.51。
Jul 7, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A LOW买入区 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jun 29, 2026
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 26, 2026
UPTREND → BUY ZONE上涨趋势 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jun 25, 2026
FAST daily MACD crossed upFAST 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $46.92.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$46.92。
Jun 24, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 108 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.60
Value价值
-0.9
Profitability盈利能力
+2.4
Quality质量
+0.6
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Low volatility低波动
+0.9
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.7
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.4
Company Profile公司档案
Fastenal Company is an American publicly traded company based in Winona, Minnesota, founded in 1967. Fastenal is a major distributor of industrial and construction supplies, and the largest fastener distributor in North America.FastenalCompany是一家美国公开交易公司，总部位于明尼苏达州威诺纳，成立于1967年。Fastenal是工业和建筑用品的主要分销商，也是北美最大的紧固件分销商。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。