Carrier Global · Industrials
CARR
$68.69
Carrier Global Corporation is an American multinational heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC), refrigeration, and fire and security equipment corporation based in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida.开利全球公司是一家美国跨国供暖、通风和空调、制冷以及消防和安全设备公司，总部位于佛罗里达州棕榈滩花园。
Cyclical周期股
Large cap大盘
$57B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum has crosse筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且3 日/周线动量已向下交叉——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$68.69
13.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 13.9%
Market Cap市值
$57B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
38.7x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.27
Moves about 1.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.3 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
48
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
56th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
1.9% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | CARR | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -0.9% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -1.2% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 1.8 points落后指数 1.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +12.4% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 7.7 points跑赢指数 7.7 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +23.2% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 15.4 points跑赢指数 15.4 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +29.4% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 20.3 points跑赢指数 20.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -9.4% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 28.8 points落后指数 28.8 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
48
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+0.7% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+13.9% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
56th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$67.25
Don't chase above不追高于
$68.69
Stop止损
$66.74
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04
Estimates being raised — 3 analysts预期上调 — 3 位分析师
Post-earnings drift: -9.9% (20d)财报后漂移：-9.9%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | CARR | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 38.70x | 29.89 | 31% |
| P/S市销率 | 2.64x | 2.21 | 44% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.58% | 3.10 | 37% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 3.69% | 3.81 | 48% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 6.38% | 2.29 | 88% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 19.55x | 16.39 | 33% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 27.08x | 25.50 | 44% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 4.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -5.2%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
4.0%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 2.88 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.20 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $2.9B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $74.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -4.8% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/7
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.8)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 39% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 39% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.27×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.3× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.3 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/7
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.79%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±6.24%
Call wall看涨密集区
$75
Put wall看跌密集区
$65
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$61
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-35.3%
Flow资金流向
$0M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 1 fresh positions; P/C 0.38; net new PUT positioning (defensive / hedging) (ΔOI +5,843); ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $0M；0DTE占0%；1个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.38；净新增看跌持仓（防御/对冲）（ΔOI +5,843）；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: +$1.0M net (1 buyers, 0 sellers)+$1.0M 净值（1 买家，0 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 14, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 13, 2026
CARR StochRSI turned up from oversoldCARR StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $68.61.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$68.61。
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 1, 2026
CARR daily MACD crossed downCARR 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $72.07.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$72.07。
Jun 30, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 18, 2026
CARR took relative-strength leadershipCARR 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $71.81.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$71.81。
Jun 9, 2026
CARR took relative-strength leadershipCARR 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $71.24.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$71.24。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 87 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.11
Value价值
-0.3
Quality质量
-0.4
Investment资本投入
+0.5
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.6
Low volatility低波动
+0.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.6
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.8
Company Profile公司档案
Carrier Global Corporation is an American multinational heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC), refrigeration, and fire and security equipment corporation based in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida.开利全球公司是一家美国跨国供暖、通风和空调、制冷以及消防和安全设备公司，总部位于佛罗里达州棕榈滩花园。
Demand chain:需求链： Homebuilder volume (revenue) contracting (-4% YoY to ~$113B) — the demand pool for building-products suppliers建筑商销量（营收）收缩（同比-4%，约 $113B）——建材供应商的需求来源
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。