Exelon · Utilities
EXC
$46.26
Exelon Corporation is an American public utility headquartered in Chicago, and incorporated in Pennsylvania. Exelon is the largest electric parent company in the United States by revenue and is the largest regulated electric utility in the United States with approximately...ExelonCorporation是一家总部位于芝加哥、注册于宾夕法尼亚州的美国公共事业公司。按营收计算，Exelon是美国最大的电力母公司，也是美国最大的受监管电力公用事业公司，服务约1000万客户。
Distressed困境股
Large cap大盘
$47B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 45.51.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 45.51 下方。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$46.26
7.1% below 52-week high低于52周高点 7.1%
Market Cap市值
$47B
Normal volume正常成交量
Forward P/E预测市盈率
15.2x
Beta贝塔
-0.23
Moves about -0.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.2 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
3.63%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
49
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
92th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.2% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | EXC | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -1.2% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +1.5% | +0.6% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -0.7% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 5.4 points落后指数 5.4 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +5.3% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 2.5 points落后指数 2.5 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +7.2% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 1.9 points落后指数 1.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +11.6% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 7.8 points落后指数 7.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +25.4% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 44.0 points落后指数 44.0 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +68.2% | +83.9% | Lagged the index by 15.7 points落后指数 15.7 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
MA Sell (7)MA Sell (21)MA Sell (100)1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)
RSI (14)RSI（14）
49
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+1.4% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+1.6% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
14
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位
92th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$45.31
Don't chase above不追高于
$46.26
Stop止损
$45.51
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望
Earnings财务业绩
11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30
Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | EXC | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 15.2x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 1.64x | 2.06 | 73% |
| P/S市销率 | 1.95x | 3.01 | 75% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | -4.81% | -2.94 | 36% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 3.42% | 2.81 | 76% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 11.94x | 12.72 | 59% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -6.0%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 6.16 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.92 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +1.8% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (0.8)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 61% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 61% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.23×
0.21×3×
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
3.63%
Pays a dividend (3.63% yield)有分红（收益率 3.63%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Utilities (Equal-Weight) theme — #21 of 46 themes「公用事业（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 21 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面
EXC weekly MACD crossed downEXC 周线MACD下穿
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.36%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±3.04%
Call wall看涨密集区
$50
Put wall看跌密集区
$42
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$41
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-6.3%
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soros Fund Management | B | trimtrim | 0.1% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE
UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 17, 2026
EXC weekly MACD crossed downEXC 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 15, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 14, 2026
EXC StochRSI turned up from oversoldEXC StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $46.92.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$46.92。
Jul 13, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 9, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 9, 2026
EXC daily MACD crossed downEXC 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $46.38.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$46.38。
Jul 8, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 7, 2026
UPTREND → BUY ZONE上涨趋势 → 买入区
BUY买入
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.01
Value价值
+0.3
Quality质量
-1.4
Investment资本投入
+0.0
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.1
Low volatility低波动
+1.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.4
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.0
Company Profile公司档案
Exelon Corporation is an American public utility headquartered in Chicago, and incorporated in Pennsylvania. Exelon is the largest electric parent company in the United States by revenue and is the largest regulated electric utility in the United States with approximately...ExelonCorporation是一家总部位于芝加哥、注册于宾夕法尼亚州的美国公共事业公司。按营收计算，Exelon是美国最大的电力母公司，也是美国最大的受监管电力公用事业公司，服务约1000万客户。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Receivables stretch
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