PCG PG&E Corporation · $17.32 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤 Terminal终端
PG&E Corporation · Utilities

PCG

$17.32
Pacific Gas and Electric Company (PG&E) is an American investor-owned utility (IOU). The company is headquartered at Kaiser Center, in Oakland, California.太平洋煤气电力公司(PG&E)是一家美国投资者所有的公用事业公司(IOU),总部位于加利福尼亚州奥克兰市的凯泽中心。
Distressed困境股 Large cap大盘 $38B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成,目前价格已拉伸(动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下)。不要追高;等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
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Price Chart价格图表

PG&E CORPORATION 16.00 17.00 18.00 19.00 17.32 2026-03-10 2026-04-06 2026-04-30 2026-05-26 2026-06-22 2026-07-17 50 SMA VOLUME 46.5MVOL MACD 0.195 MASTERMIND PCGDAILY mastermind-x.comResearch dossier · regenerated nightly© 2026 Mastermind
Full chart in Terminal终端完整图表

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$17.32
9.1% below 52-week high低于52周高点 9.1%
Market Cap市值
$38B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
14.7x
22.6x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
9.6x
EPS每股收益 $1.18
Beta贝塔
0.20
Moves about 0.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.2 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
1.15%
RSI (14)RSI(14)
56
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
17th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
1.8% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 PCG S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +0.9% -1.5% Beat the index by 2.4 points跑赢指数 2.4 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +5.7% +0.6% Beat the index by 5.1 points跑赢指数 5.1 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +0.3% +4.7% Lagged the index by 4.4 points落后指数 4.4 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +11.3% +7.8% Beat the index by 3.5 points跑赢指数 3.5 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +6.8% +9.1% Lagged the index by 2.3 points落后指数 2.3 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +31.6% +19.4% Beat the index by 12.2 points跑赢指数 12.2 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +0.3% +69.4% Lagged the index by 69.1 points落后指数 69.1 个百分点
5 Years近5年 +79.5% +83.9% Lagged the index by 4.4 points落后指数 4.4 个百分点

Technicals技术面

Active signals活跃信号
MA Sell (7)Long-term Rising Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutral
RSI (14)RSI(14) 56 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +3.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +4.5% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度(ADX) 19 No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位 17th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$17.16
Don't chase above不追高于
$17.32
Stop止损
$16.39
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 PCG Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 14.68x 22.58
88%
P/E (forward)市盈率(预测) 9.6x
P/B市净率 1.17x 2.06
98%
P/S市销率 1.53x 3.01
90%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 6.81% 4.41
90%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 -8.07% -2.94
15%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$18.5B
2020
$20.6B
2021
$21.7B
2022
$24.4B
2023
$24.4B
2024
$24.9B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 6.2%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$-1.05
2020
$-0.05
2021
$0.84
2022
$1.05
2023
$1.15
2024
$1.18
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
-$26.8B
2020
-$5.4B
2021
-$5.9B
2022
-$5.0B
2023
-$2.3B
2024
-$3.1B
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
19.0%
Net margin净利率
10.4%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
35.0%
8.0%Return on Equity股本回报率
1.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Current ratio流动比率0.97
Capital Allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$134.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)+0.2%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (0.5) Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 73% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 73% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.20×
0.2
Moves about 0.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.2 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
1.15%
Pays a dividend (1.15% yield)有分红(收益率 1.15%)

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Utilities (Equal-Weight) theme — #21 of 46 themes「公用事业(等权)」主题 — 46 个主题中第 21 位
Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 UPTREND → BUY ZONE上涨趋势 → 买入区

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.97%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.40%
Call wall看涨密集区
$19
Put wall看跌密集区
$16
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$13
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-8.0%
Flow资金流向

$0M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 2 fresh positions; P/C 0.69; ~leans bearish/hedging (direction approx)成交权利金 $0M;0DTE占0%;2个新建仓;看跌看涨比 0.69;≈偏看跌/对冲(方向近似)

Skew: 偏斜:fear

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$3.5M net (1 buyers, 6 sellers)-$3.5M 净值(1 买家,6 卖家)
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Third Point (Loeb) B exitexit 0.0% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~20 day(s) ago @ 16.39) and momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发(摆动低点出现、动量转向上行),但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点(约 20 天前形成 @ 16.39)且动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下。动量交叉属于滞后确认:在垂直拉升之后,只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发,因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高,而非新的买入
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 10, 2026
UPTREND → BUY ZONE上涨趋势 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 8, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A LOW → BUY ZONE接近低点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 6, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A LOW买入区 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jun 29, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 24, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.36
Value价值
+1.0
Quality质量
-0.5
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Low volatility低波动
+0.8
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.8
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.1

Company Profile公司档案

Pacific Gas and Electric Company (PG&E) is an American investor-owned utility (IOU). The company is headquartered at Kaiser Center, in Oakland, California.太平洋煤气电力公司(PG&E)是一家美国投资者所有的公用事业公司(IOU),总部位于加利福尼亚州奥克兰市的凯泽中心。
Demand chain:需求链: Hyperscaler capex accelerating (+69% YoY to ~$379B) — the demand pool for power & grid buildout云厂商资本开支加速(同比+69%,约 $379B)——电力与电网建设的需求来源
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Inventory build
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