Rambus · Tech
RMBS
$101.44
Rambus Inc. is an American technology company that designs, develops and licenses chip interface technologies and architectures that are used in digital electronics products.RambusInc.是一家美国科技公司，设计、开发和授权用于数字电子产品的芯片接口技术和架构。
High-beta momentum高贝塔动量
Large cap大盘
$11B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$101.44
40.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 40.6%
Market Cap市值
$11B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
47.4x
40.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
3.54
Moves about 3.5x the market波动幅度约为市场的 3.5 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
37
Depressed偏低
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-27 (8d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
73th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.5% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | RMBS | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -9.5% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 8.0 points落后指数 8.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -22.0% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 22.6 points落后指数 22.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -20.1% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 24.8 points落后指数 24.8 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -6.1% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 13.9 points落后指数 13.9 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +2.2% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 6.9 points落后指数 6.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +48.8% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 29.4 points跑赢指数 29.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +61.0% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 8.4 points落后指数 8.4 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
37
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-22.9% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-7.2% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
73th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$101.40
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期
Earnings财务业绩
8
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-27
Estimates being raised — 2 analysts预期上调 — 2 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | RMBS | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 47.44x | 40.17 | 41% |
| P/B市净率 | 8.01x | 5.85 | 35% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.11% | 2.19 | 49% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 3.05% | 3.05 | 50% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.07% | 2.16 | 9% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 39.50x | 29.30 | 37% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 32.82x | 30.46 | 45% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 23.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
16.9%Return on Equity股本回报率
15.1%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.67 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 8.20 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $7.1M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $54.3M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.9% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (41.5)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 41% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 41% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
3.54×
0.21×3×
Moves about 3.5× the market波动幅度约为市场的 3.5 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -36.5%空头仓位变动 -36.5%
Technical技术面
RMBS broke down vs the marketRMBS 相对市场走弱
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$7.2M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$7.2M 净值（0 买家，5 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
DECLINE
DOWNTREND
Jul 15, 2026
RMBS broke down vs the marketRMBS 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $102.89.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$102.89。
Jul 13, 2026
RMBS lost its 200-day averageRMBS 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $103.11.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$103.11。
Jul 10, 2026
RMBS StochRSI turned up from oversoldRMBS StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $112.10.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$112.10。
Jul 9, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 8, 2026
RMBS reclaimed its 200-day averageRMBS 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $109.64.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$109.64。
Jul 7, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 7, 2026
RMBS lost its 200-day averageRMBS 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $105.93.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$105.93。
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 268 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.64
Value价值
-0.8
Profitability盈利能力
+0.3
Quality质量
+0.7
Investment资本投入
-0.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
-1.0
Low volatility低波动
-2.7
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-3.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.7
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.1
Company Profile公司档案
Rambus Inc. is an American technology company that designs, develops and licenses chip interface technologies and architectures that are used in digital electronics products.RambusInc.是一家美国科技公司，设计、开发和授权用于数字电子产品的芯片接口技术和架构。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。