Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. · Financials
AJG
$253.90
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (Gallagher) is an American insurance brokerage and risk management services company based in Rolling Meadows, Illinois, a suburb of Chicago.亚瑟·J·加拉格尔公司（Gallagher）是一家美国保险经纪和风险管理服务公司，总部位于伊利诺伊州芝加哥郊区的罗林梅多斯。
Distressed困境股
Large cap大盘
$65B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and oscillators are already extended/ove筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且摆动指标已过热——此处入场风险较高。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$253.90
18.5% below 52-week high低于52周高点 18.5%
Market Cap市值
$65B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
43.7x
15.0x sector median
Beta贝塔
-0.22
Moves about -0.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.2 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
64
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
92th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.6% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | AJG | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.3% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 1.8 points跑赢指数 1.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +17.5% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 16.9 points跑赢指数 16.9 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +15.0% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 10.3 points跑赢指数 10.3 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -1.2% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 9.0 points落后指数 9.0 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -0.2% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 9.3 points落后指数 9.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -18.2% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 37.6 points落后指数 37.6 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
64
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+15.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+7.4% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
92th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$239.60
Don't chase above不追高于
$253.90
Stop止损
$209.10
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | AJG | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 43.68x | 14.99 | 4% |
| P/B市净率 | 2.80x | 1.52 | 21% |
| P/S市销率 | 4.68x | 2.87 | 28% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.29% | 6.58 | 8% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.02% | 3.91 | 13% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 14.8%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 6.4%
Margins利润率
6.4%Return on Equity股本回报率
2.1%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $11.3M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $49.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +2.8% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.2)
Warning警示
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 18% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 18% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.22×
0.21×3×
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Insurance & Brokers theme — #5 of 46 themes「保险与经纪」主题 — 46 个主题中第 5 位
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
AJG took relative-strength leadershipAJG 取得相对强弱领先
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.27%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±5.08%
Call wall看涨密集区
$260
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.3%
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$15.3M net (1 buyers, 6 sellers)-$15.3M 净值（1 买家，6 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viking Global (Halvorsen) | B | trimtrim | 0.4% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 16, 2026
AJG took relative-strength leadershipAJG 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $255.93.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$255.93。
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
AJG took relative-strength leadershipAJG 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $252.44.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$252.44。
Jul 1, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 1, 2026
AJG reclaimed its 200-day averageAJG 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $239.67.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$239.67。
Jul 1, 2026
AJG RSI reached overboughtAJG RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $239.67.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$239.67。
Jun 26, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jun 25, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 24, 2026
NEARING A LOW → BUY ZONE接近低点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 96 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.16
Value价值
-0.5
Quality质量
-0.1
Investment资本投入
-0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.8
Low volatility低波动
+0.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.7
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.5
Company Profile公司档案
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (Gallagher) is an American insurance brokerage and risk management services company based in Rolling Meadows, Illinois, a suburb of Chicago.亚瑟·J·加拉格尔公司（Gallagher）是一家美国保险经纪和风险管理服务公司，总部位于伊利诺伊州芝加哥郊区的罗林梅多斯。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Receivables stretch
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。