XYZ Block, Inc. · $79.94 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤 Terminal终端
Block, Inc. · Financials

XYZ

$79.94
Block, Inc. is an American technology company and a financial services provider for consumers and merchants.Block公司是一家美国科技公司,为消费者和商家提供金融服务。
Financial金融股
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成,目前价格已拉伸(动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下)。不要追高;等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$79.94
2.3% below 52-week high低于52周高点 2.3%
Beta贝塔
1.92
Moves about 1.9x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.9 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
59
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-06 (18d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
15th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数

Performance价格表现

Period周期 XYZ S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +3.4% -1.5% Beat the index by 4.9 points跑赢指数 4.9 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +9.7% +0.6% Beat the index by 9.1 points跑赢指数 9.1 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +12.2% +4.7% Beat the index by 7.5 points跑赢指数 7.5 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +21.2% +7.8% Beat the index by 13.4 points跑赢指数 13.4 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +22.7% +9.1% Beat the index by 13.6 points跑赢指数 13.6 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +13.0% +19.4% Lagged the index by 6.4 points落后指数 6.4 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 59 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +8.5% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +18.4% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 15th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$78.17
Don't chase above不追高于
$79.94
Stop止损
$69.09
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

18
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-06

Estimates being raised — 33 analysts预期上调 — 33 位分析师

Post-earnings drift: -8.7% (20d)财报后漂移:-8.7%(20日)

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$9.5B
2020
$17.7B
2021
$17.5B
2022
$21.9B
2023
$24.1B
2024
$24.2B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 20.6%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$0.44
2020
$0.33
2021
$-0.93
2022
$0.02
2023
$4.56
2024
$2.10
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 36.7%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$243.2M
2020
$713.5M
2021
$5.1M
2022
-$50.2M
2023
$1.6B
2024
$2.4B
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
42.8%
Operating margin营业利润率
7.1%
Net margin净利率
5.4%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
10.7%
5.9%Return on Equity股本回报率
3.3%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-3.16
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$2.3B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$1.2B
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/7 Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Beta市场敏感度
1.92×
0.2
Moves about 1.9× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.9 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/7
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Payments & Fintech theme — #9 of 46 themes「支付与金融科技」主题 — 46 个主题中第 9 位
Macro宏观 Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed -17.2%空头仓位变动 -17.2%
Technical技术面 XYZ made a new 52-week highXYZ 创52周新高

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.63%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±8.12%
Call wall看涨密集区
$85
Put wall看跌密集区
$72
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.3%
Flow资金流向

$13M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 32 fresh positions; P/C 0.73; ~leans bearish/hedging (direction approx)成交权利金 $13M;0DTE占0%;32个新建仓;看跌看涨比 0.73;≈偏看跌/对冲(方向近似)

Skew: 偏斜:balanced

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$7.6M net (0 buyers, 6 sellers)-$7.6M 净值(0 买家,6 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Dragoneer Investment Group C trimtrim 5.8% 2026-03-31
Tiger Global (Coleman) B trimtrim 1.1% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~24 day(s) ago @ 69.09) and momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发(摆动低点出现、动量转向上行),但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点(约 24 天前形成 @ 69.09)且动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下。动量交叉属于滞后确认:在垂直拉升之后,只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发,因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高,而非新的买入
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 15, 2026
XYZ made a new 52-week highXYZ 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $81.81.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$81.81。
Jul 13, 2026
XYZ took relative-strength leadershipXYZ 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $78.72.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$78.72。
Jul 10, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 9, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 7, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 2, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条,共 92 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.26
Profitability盈利能力
-0.3
Quality质量
-0.3
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Low volatility低波动
-0.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.9

Company Profile公司档案

Block, Inc. is an American technology company and a financial services provider for consumers and merchants.Block公司是一家美国科技公司,为消费者和商家提供金融服务。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Receivables stretch
  • Inventory build
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