Arch Capital Group · Financials
ACGL
$101.35
Arch Capital Group Ltd. is a Bermuda exempted public company which writes insurance, reinsurance and mortgage insurance on a worldwide basis, with a focus on specialty lines, the segment of the insurance industry where the more difficult and unusual risks...ArchCapitalGroupLtd.是一家百慕大豁免的公众公司，在全球范围内承保保险、再保险和抵押贷款保险，专注于专业险种，即保险业中承保难度较大和不寻常风险的领域。
Financial金融股
Large cap大盘
$36B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and oscillators are already extended/ove筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且摆动指标已过热——此处入场风险较高。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$101.35
1.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 1.7%
Market Cap市值
$36B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
8.3x
15.0x sector median
Beta贝塔
-0.29
Moves about -0.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.3 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
60
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
96th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.3% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | ACGL | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.3% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 1.8 points跑赢指数 1.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +9.7% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 9.1 points跑赢指数 9.1 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +3.9% | +4.7% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +11.8% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 4.0 points跑赢指数 4.0 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +8.0% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 1.1 points落后指数 1.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +14.3% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 5.1 points落后指数 5.1 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
60
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+6.7% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+7.5% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
96th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$98.68
Don't chase above不追高于
$101.30
Stop止损
$91.13
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | ACGL | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 8.27x | 14.99 | 94% |
| P/B市净率 | 1.50x | 1.52 | 50% |
| P/S市销率 | 1.83x | 2.87 | 65% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 12.09% | 6.58 | 95% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 5.19% | 3.91 | 63% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 23.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 24.6%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
18.2%Return on Equity股本回报率
5.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $1.9B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $148.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -4.6% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/6
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 70% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 70% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.29×
0.21×3×
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
5/6
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Insurance & Brokers theme — #5 of 46 themes「保险与经纪」主题 — 46 个主题中第 5 位
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
ACGL daily MACD crossed downACGL 日线MACD下穿
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.80%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.03%
Call wall看涨密集区
$105
Put wall看跌密集区
$90
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$99
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-11.5%
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$28.0M net (0 buyers, 6 sellers)-$28.0M 净值（0 买家，6 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 16, 2026
ACGL daily MACD crossed downACGL 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $100.04.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$100.04。
Jul 13, 2026
ACGL made a new 52-week highACGL 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $103.06.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$103.06。
Jul 10, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 8, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 7, 2026
ACGL made a new 52-week highACGL 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $102.85.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$102.85。
Jul 3, 2026
ACGL weekly MACD crossed upACGL 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 107 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.36
Value价值
+0.9
Quality质量
-0.3
Investment资本投入
-0.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.3
Low volatility低波动
+1.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.5
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.4
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.5
Company Profile公司档案
Arch Capital Group Ltd. is a Bermuda exempted public company which writes insurance, reinsurance and mortgage insurance on a worldwide basis, with a focus on specialty lines, the segment of the insurance industry where the more difficult and unusual risks...ArchCapitalGroupLtd.是一家百慕大豁免的公众公司，在全球范围内承保保险、再保险和抵押贷款保险，专注于专业险种，即保险业中承保难度较大和不寻常风险的领域。
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