VCTR
Victory Capital Holdings, Inc.
·
$98.52
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Terminal终端 ↗
Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. · Financials
VCTR
$98.52
Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. is an American financial services company headquartered in San Antonio, Texas that focuses on investment management.VictoryCapitalHoldings,Inc.是一家美国金融服务公司，总部位于德克萨斯州圣安东尼奥，专注于投资管理。
Financial金融股
Mid cap中盘
$6B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (overbought (daily RSI 69, 3-day 75 & 已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（已超买（日线 RSI 69、3 日 75 与周线 75））。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$98.52
2.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 2.0%
Market Cap市值
$6B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
19.1x
15.0x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.11
Moves about 1.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
69
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-06 (18d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
77th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.0% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | VCTR | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +6.8% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 8.3 points跑赢指数 8.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +13.3% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 12.7 points跑赢指数 12.7 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +34.1% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 29.4 points跑赢指数 29.4 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +47.0% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 39.2 points跑赢指数 39.2 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +55.7% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 46.6 points跑赢指数 46.6 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +42.7% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 23.3 points跑赢指数 23.3 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +214.4% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 145.0 points跑赢指数 145.0 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
69
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+13.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+37.3% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
77th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$91.59
Don't chase above不追高于
$98.52
Stop止损
$82.13
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
18
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-06
Estimates being raised — 5 analysts预期上调 — 5 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | VCTR | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 19.15x | 14.99 | 28% |
| P/B市净率 | 2.61x | 1.52 | 24% |
| P/S市销率 | 4.84x | 2.87 | 26% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 5.22% | 6.58 | 31% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 3.10% | 3.91 | 37% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 11.0%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 7.2%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
13.6%Return on Equity股本回报率
7.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 1.46 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $195.6M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $20.4M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.8% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/7
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.1)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 26% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 26% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.11×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/7
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -13.7%空头仓位变动 -13.7%
Technical技术面
VCTR made a new 52-week highVCTR 创52周新高
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polen Capital Management | B | Adding加仓 | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
| Basswood Capital Management | B | trimtrim | 1.1% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TOP WATCH
NEARING A HIGH
Jul 14, 2026
VCTR made a new 52-week highVCTR 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $97.70.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$97.70。
Jul 14, 2026
VCTR RSI reached overboughtVCTR RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $97.70.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$97.70。
Jul 13, 2026
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 10, 2026
VCTR made a new 52-week highVCTR 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $92.24.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$92.24。
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 8, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 6, 2026
VCTR made a new 52-week highVCTR 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $90.78.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$90.78。
Jul 6, 2026
VCTR daily MACD crossed upVCTR 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $90.78.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$90.78。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 248 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.68
Value价值
-0.2
Quality质量
-0.5
Investment资本投入
-3.0
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.2
Low volatility低波动
+0.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.5
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.1
Company Profile公司档案
Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. is an American financial services company headquartered in San Antonio, Texas that focuses on investment management.VictoryCapitalHoldings,Inc.是一家美国金融服务公司，总部位于德克萨斯州圣安东尼奥，专注于投资管理。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
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