Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Confirmed cycle low — the entry window is open now, with a clear exit if it closes back below 57.93.周期低点已确认——入场窗口现已开启,若收盘重新跌破 57.93 则明确离场。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$66.71
0.0% below 52-week high0.0% below 52-week high
Market Cap市值
$6B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
9.2x
15.0x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.08
Moves about 0.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
69
Elevated偏高
Volatility Rank波动率分位
67th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.8% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | ESNT | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +3.7% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 5.2 points跑赢指数 5.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +13.0% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 12.4 points跑赢指数 12.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +8.2% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 3.5 points跑赢指数 3.5 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +10.8% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 3.0 points跑赢指数 3.0 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +4.4% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 4.7 points落后指数 4.7 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +20.4% | +19.4% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +43.5% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 25.9 points落后指数 25.9 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI(14)
69
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+9.4% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+9.5% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
67th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$66.23
Don't chase above不追高于
$67.09
Stop止损
$57.93
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | ESNT | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) | 9.23x | 14.99 | 91% |
| P/B市净率 | 1.11x | 1.52 | 82% |
| P/S市销率 | 5.05x | 2.87 | 24% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 10.84% | 6.58 | 91% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 11.15% | 3.91 | 90% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 5.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 12.2%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
12.0%Return on Equity股本回报率
9.3%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM) | $587.7M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $20.8M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年) | -9.1% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/6
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 66% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 66% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.08×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/6
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
Golden cross on ESNTESNT 金叉
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.7M net (0 buyers, 3 sellers)-$0.7M 净值(0 买家,3 卖家)
Signal History信号历史
FRESH BUY
BUY ZONE
Jul 17, 2026
Golden cross on ESNTESNT 金叉
The 50-day average crossed above the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bullish trend signal. $66.71.50日均线上穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看多趋势信号。$66.71。
Jul 17, 2026
ESNT took relative-strength leadershipESNT 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $66.71.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$66.71。
Jul 16, 2026
ESNT made a new 52-week highESNT 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $66.28.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$66.28。
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 13, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 10, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 8, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.73
Value价值
+1.0
Quality质量
-0.4
Investment资本投入
+0.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
+1.8
Low volatility低波动
+1.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.4
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.0
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析,覆盖所有标普500成分股。