UNP Union Pacific Corporation · $301.75 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

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Union Pacific Corporation · Industrials

UNP

$301.75
The Union Pacific Corporation is an American publicly traded railroad holding company serving as the holding company for the Union Pacific Railroad.UnionPacificCorporation是一家美国上市铁路控股公司，作为UnionPacificRailroad的控股公司运营。
Cyclical周期股 Large cap大盘 $179B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (overbought (daily RSI 78, 3-day 74 & 已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（已超买（日线 RSI 78、3 日 74 与周线 72））。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
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Price Chart价格图表

UNION PACIFIC CORPORATION 240.00 260.00 280.00 300.00 301.75 2026-03-10 2026-04-06 2026-04-30 2026-05-26 2026-06-22 2026-07-17 50 SMA VOLUME 8.5MVOL MACD 7.914 MASTERMIND UNPDAILY mastermind-x.comResearch dossier · regenerated nightly© 2026 Mastermind
Full chart in Terminal终端完整图表 ↗

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$301.75
0.0% below 52-week high0.0% below 52-week high
Market Cap市值
$179B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
25.1x
29.9x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
21.8x
EPS每股收益 $12.03
Beta贝塔
0.34
Moves about 0.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.3 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
1.83%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
78
Overbought超买区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-23 (4d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
48th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.8% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 UNP S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +5.2% -1.5% Beat the index by 6.7 points跑赢指数 6.7 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +16.9% +0.6% Beat the index by 16.3 points跑赢指数 16.3 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +20.8% +4.7% Beat the index by 16.1 points跑赢指数 16.1 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +32.9% +7.8% Beat the index by 25.1 points跑赢指数 25.1 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +31.5% +9.1% Beat the index by 22.4 points跑赢指数 22.4 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +35.7% +19.4% Beat the index by 16.3 points跑赢指数 16.3 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +51.8% +69.4% Lagged the index by 17.6 points落后指数 17.6 个百分点
5 Years近5年 +54.7% +83.9% Lagged the index by 29.2 points落后指数 29.2 个百分点

Technicals技术面

Active signals活跃信号
Short-term Rising TrendLong-term Rising Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Ichimoku — Price Above Cloud
RSI (14)RSI（14） 78 Overbought超买区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +11.2% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +22.9% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX） 36 Strong trend趋势强劲
Volatility rank波动率分位 48th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$283.35
Don't chase above不追高于
$301.80
Stop止损
$256.90
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

4
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-23

Estimates being raised — 4 analysts预期上调 — 4 位分析师

Post-earnings drift: -5.0% (20d)财报后漂移：-5.0%（20日）

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 UNP Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 25.08x 29.89
63%
P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） 21.8x — —
P/B市净率 9.69x 3.90
17%
P/S市销率 7.30x 2.21
7%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 3.99% 3.10
67%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 3.07% 3.81
37%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 1.50% 2.29
36%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 17.02x 16.39
45%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 32.55x 25.50
31%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$19.5B
2020
$21.8B
2021
$24.9B
2022
$24.1B
2023
$24.2B
2024
$24.5B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 4.6%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$7.88
2020
$9.95
2021
$11.21
2022
$10.45
2023
$11.09
2024
$11.98
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 8.7%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$5.6B
2020
$6.1B
2021
$5.7B
2022
$4.8B
2023
$5.9B
2024
$5.5B
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
40.2%
Net margin净利率
29.1%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
37.9%
38.7%Return on Equity股本回报率
10.2%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA2.48
Current ratio流动比率0.91
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$2.7B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$142.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-1.8%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (4.3) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 34% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 34% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.34×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.3× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.3 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
1.83%
Pays a dividend (1.83% yield)有分红（收益率 1.83%）

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观 Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓 Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面 UNP made a new 52-week highUNP 创52周新高

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.76%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±3.94%
Call wall看涨密集区
$310
Put wall看跌密集区
$278
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$236
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.3%
Skew: 偏斜：balanced

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Baupost Group (Klarman) C Holding持有 7.3% 2026-03-31
Corvex Management A trimtrim 4.7% 2026-03-31
Third Point (Loeb) B trimtrim 1.2% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~19 day(s) ago @ 256.88) and overbought (daily RSI 78, 3-day 74 & weekly 72). A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发（摆动低点出现、动量转向上行），但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点（约 19 天前形成 @ 256.88）且已超买（日线 RSI 78、3 日 74 与周线 72）。动量交叉属于滞后确认：在垂直拉升之后，只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发，因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高，而非新的买入。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 16, 2026
UNP made a new 52-week highUNP 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $299.42.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$299.42。
Jul 16, 2026
UNP RSI reached overboughtUNP RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $299.42.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$299.42。
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 13, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 13, 2026
UNP RSI reached overboughtUNP RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $289.13.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$289.13。
Jul 9, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 9, 2026
UNP made a new 52-week highUNP 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $285.04.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$285.04。
Jul 7, 2026
UNP took relative-strength leadershipUNP 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $283.12.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$283.12。
Jul 6, 2026
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
UNP took relative-strength leadershipUNP 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $282.25.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$282.25。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 3853 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.01
Value价值
-0.8
Quality质量
-0.0
Investment资本投入
+0.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.6
Low volatility低波动
+1.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.7
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.8

Company Profile公司档案

The Union Pacific Corporation is an American publicly traded railroad holding company serving as the holding company for the Union Pacific Railroad.UnionPacificCorporation是一家美国上市铁路控股公司，作为UnionPacificRailroad的控股公司运营。
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