UNFI United Natural Foods Inc · $49.10 Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底 Terminal终端 ↗

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United Natural Foods Inc · Staples

UNFI

$49.10
United Natural Foods, Inc. (UNFI) is a Providence, Rhode Island–based natural and organic food company.UnitedNaturalFoods,Inc.(UNFI)是一家总部位于罗德岛州普罗维登斯的天然和有机食品公司。
Speculative / unprofitable投机／未盈利 Mid cap中盘 $3B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 45.57.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 45.57 下方。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$49.10
11.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 11.6%
Market Cap市值
$3B
Normal volume正常成交量
Beta贝塔
0.59
Moves about 0.6x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
51
Neutral zone中性区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
31th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.0% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 UNFI S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +0.5% -1.5% Beat the index by 2.0 points跑赢指数 2.0 个百分点
1 Month近1月 -1.1% +0.6% Lagged the index by 1.7 points落后指数 1.7 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +0.4% +4.7% Lagged the index by 4.3 points落后指数 4.3 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +40.2% +7.8% Beat the index by 32.4 points跑赢指数 32.4 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +46.9% +9.1% Beat the index by 37.8 points跑赢指数 37.8 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +79.4% +19.4% Beat the index by 60.0 points跑赢指数 60.0 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +149.1% +69.4% Beat the index by 79.7 points跑赢指数 79.7 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 51 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -1.9% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +16.9% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 31th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$48.52
Don't chase above不追高于
$49.10
Stop止损
$45.57
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望

Earnings财务业绩

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 UNFI Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/B市净率 1.92x 3.38
69%
P/S市销率 0.09x 1.28
96%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 -3.95% 3.76
7%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 8.01% 4.71
76%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 0.00% 2.48
4%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 16.56x 12.39
27%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 12.49x 21.12
74%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$26.5B
2020
$26.9B
2021
$28.9B
2022
$30.3B
2023
$31.0B
2024
$31.8B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 3.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$-5.10
2020
$2.48
2021
$4.07
2022
$0.40
2023
$-1.89
2024
$-1.95
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$284.0M
2020
$304.0M
2021
$80.0M
2022
$301.0M
2023
-$92.0M
2024
$239.0M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
13.3%
Operating margin营业利润率
-0.1%
Net margin净利率
-0.4%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
1.5%
-7.6%Return on Equity股本回报率
-1.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA6.27
Current ratio流动比率1.32
Capital Allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$43.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+0.5%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (4.8) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 67% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 67% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.59×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.6× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 UNFI daily MACD crossed upUNFI 日线MACD上穿

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.3M net (1 buyers, 3 sellers)-$0.3M 净值（1 买家，3 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum negative; investor cycle overdue). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量为负；投资者周期已逾期）。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 13, 2026
UNFI daily MACD crossed upUNFI 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $48.98.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$48.98。
Jul 7, 2026
UNFI StochRSI turned up from oversoldUNFI StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $47.25.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$47.25。
Jul 2, 2026
UNFI printed a daily-cycle lowUNFI 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $45.57.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$45.57。
Jun 29, 2026
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 26, 2026
UNFI weekly MACD crossed downUNFI 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jun 25, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 23, 2026
UNFI took relative-strength leadershipUNFI 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $51.48.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$51.48。

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.50
Value价值
+1.9
Profitability盈利能力
+1.5
Quality质量
+0.2
Investment资本投入
+0.9
Shareholder payout股东回报
-1.0
Low volatility低波动
-0.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.5
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.6

Company Profile公司档案

United Natural Foods, Inc. (UNFI) is a Providence, Rhode Island–based natural and organic food company.UnitedNaturalFoods,Inc.(UNFI)是一家总部位于罗德岛州普罗维登斯的天然和有机食品公司。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Receivables stretch
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