Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 104.72.日线低点正在形成,但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位;止损设于 104.72 下方。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$107.14
41.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 41.8%
Market Cap市值
$3B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
17.6x
24.1x sector median
Beta贝塔
-0.01
Moves about -0.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.0 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
42
Neutral zone中性区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
99th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
9.5% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | MZTI | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -6.7% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 5.2 points落后指数 5.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +1.4% | +0.6% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -22.1% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 26.8 points落后指数 26.8 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -35.3% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 43.1 points落后指数 43.1 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -33.9% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 43.0 points落后指数 43.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -38.1% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 57.5 points落后指数 57.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -39.4% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 108.8 points落后指数 108.8 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI(14)
42
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-3.7% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-26.0% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
99th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$104.10
Don't chase above不追高于
$107.10
Stop止损
$104.70
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认,先观望
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | MZTI | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) | 17.56x | 24.10 | 75% |
| P/B市净率 | 2.84x | 3.38 | 58% |
| P/S市销率 | 1.54x | 1.28 | 43% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 5.70% | 3.76 | 79% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 6.93% | 4.71 | 71% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 3.79% | 2.48 | 58% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 9.83x | 12.39 | 63% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 14.44x | 21.12 | 69% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 7.4%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 4.1%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
16.2%Return on Equity股本回报率
12.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.57 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 2.38 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM) | $8.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $9.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年) | -0.5% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (10.5)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 62% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 62% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.01×
0.21×3×
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +29.1%空头仓位变动 +29.1%
Technical技术面
MZTI StochRSI turned up from oversoldMZTI StochRSI自超卖区上行
Signal History信号历史
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE
UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 17, 2026
MZTI StochRSI turned up from oversoldMZTI StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $107.14.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$107.14。
Jul 14, 2026
MZTI broke down vs the marketMZTI 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $106.96.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$106.96。
Jul 14, 2026
MZTI daily MACD crossed downMZTI 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $106.96.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$106.96。
Jul 10, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 10, 2026
MZTI weekly MACD crossed upMZTI 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 7, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 26, 2026
UPTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN上涨趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 24, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → UPTREND未确认转向 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 23, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.20
Value价值
-0.0
Profitability盈利能力
+0.2
Quality质量
+0.4
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.1
Low volatility低波动
+0.7
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.4
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.0
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析,覆盖所有标普500成分股。